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Euro area’s inflation rate in 2026 Less than 1.4%: real money 1%, play money 2% 1.4% to 1.6%: real money 5%, play money 5% 1.7% to 1.9%: real money 16%, play money 35% 2.0% to 2.2%: real money 33%, play money 40% 2.3% to 2.5%: real money 19%, play money 15% 2.6% to 2.9%: real money 15%, play money 2% 3.0% or more: real money 9%, play money 2% Volume: real money 449.22807135, play money 747.70829922 Bettors: real money 39, play money 9 Categories: Finance, Economic Indicators, European Union Related markets Will Greenland become independent in 2026? (ID: 231572) Volume: real 182.38104071, play 14837.6506524 Bettors: real 13, play 23 Leading (real money): Will Greenland become independent in 2026? 9% Leading (play money): Will Greenland become independent in 2026? 9% United Kingdom’s interest rate at the end of 2026 (ID: 231730) Volume: real 458.38557718, play 19358.62570033 Bettors: real 31, play 25 Leading (real money): Greater than 3.75% 31% Leading (play money): 3.25% 29% Will the US control Greenland in 2026? (ID: 231573) Volume: real 68.56955627, play 18082.53523708 Bettors: real 11, play 19 Leading (real money): Will the US control Greenland in 2026? 11% Leading (play money): Will the US control Greenland in 2026? 12% Winner of France’s presidential election (ID: 237493) Volume: real 388.97975426, play 8833.59421266 Bettors: real 34, play 19 Leading (real money): Édouard Philippe 28% Leading (play money): Jordan Bardella 33% Will Neymar sign with a European elite club for the 2026/27 season? (ID: 228886) Volume: real 543.6581152, play 30406.22721814 Bettors: real 19, play 37 Leading (real money): Will Neymar sign with a European elite club for the 2026/27 season? 15% Leading (play money): Will Neymar sign with a European elite club for the 2026/27 season? 100%

Euro area’s inflation rate in 2026

Market Rules

This event refers to the annual inflation rate for the euro area in 2026, defined as the percentage change over the 12 months ending in December 2026 compared to the same period ending in December 2025. The Primary Designated Source (PDS) is the European Central Bank (ECB), based on Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) data produced by Eurostat. Resolution will use the first official figure for December 2026 as published or cited by the ECB, rounded to one decimal place using standard rounding rules.

If the ECB publication is delayed, unclear, or unavailable, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will be confirmation of the same HICP figure from Eurostat releases or a clear consensus of reporting by major international financial news organizations such as Reuters or Bloomberg. The markets will resolve according to the substantive inflation outcome implied by the data and market intent, not minor technical or formatting changes in the source. Subsequent data revisions after the initial publication will not affect the market’s resolution; if no fair determination is possible, Futuur may cancel the markets with a public explanation.

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