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Euro area’s inflation rate in 2026 Less than 1.4%: real money 2%, play money 2% 1.4% to 1.6%: real money 6%, play money 4% 1.7% to 1.9%: real money 12%, play money 34% 2.0% to 2.2%: real money 24%, play money 38% 2.3% to 2.5%: real money 11%, play money 14% 2.6% to 2.9%: real money 16%, play money 2% 3.0% or more: real money 12%, play money 2% Volume: real money 441.00110007, play money 14535.71758571 Bettors: real money 14, play money 2 Categories: Finance, Economic Indicators, European Union Related markets Will Greenland become independent in 2026? (ID: 231572) Volume: real 348.57914563, play 33309.7901 Bettors: real 9, play 19 Leading (real money): Will Greenland become independent in 2026? 15% Leading (play money): Will Greenland become independent in 2026? 10% Will the US control Greenland in 2026? (ID: 231573) Volume: real 247.95289893, play 30000.0136 Bettors: real 5, play 14 Leading (real money): Will the US control Greenland in 2026? 15% Leading (play money): Will the US control Greenland in 2026? 21% European Central Bank decision in April (ID: 236193) Volume: real 639.32218913, play 47255.009 Bettors: real 7, play 13 Leading (real money): Maintain the same rate 97% Leading (play money): Maintain the same rate 97% Will Neymar sign with a European elite club for the 2026/27 season? (ID: 228886) Volume: real 217.95915373, play 27471.31727959 Bettors: real 6, play 27 Leading (real money): Will Neymar sign with a European elite club for the 2026/27 season? 50% Leading (play money): Will Neymar sign with a European elite club for the 2026/27 season? 18%

Euro area’s inflation rate in 2026

Market Rules

This event refers to the annual inflation rate for the euro area in 2026, defined as the percentage change over the 12 months ending in December 2026 compared to the same period ending in December 2025. The Primary Designated Source (PDS) is the European Central Bank (ECB), based on Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) data produced by Eurostat. Resolution will use the first official figure for December 2026 as published or cited by the ECB, rounded to one decimal place using standard rounding rules.

If the ECB publication is delayed, unclear, or unavailable, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will be confirmation of the same HICP figure from Eurostat releases or a clear consensus of reporting by major international financial news organizations such as Reuters or Bloomberg. The markets will resolve according to the substantive inflation outcome implied by the data and market intent, not minor technical or formatting changes in the source. Subsequent data revisions after the initial publication will not affect the market’s resolution; if no fair determination is possible, Futuur may cancel the markets with a public explanation.

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