SAVE Act becomes law by ...?
Market Rules
This set of markets predicts whether legislation requiring proof of United States citizenship as a condition for registering to vote or voting in U.S. federal elections is enacted into federal law on or before the dates described in each market.
Qualifying legislation must establish a requirement for documentary proof of U.S. citizenship applicable to participation in federal elections. If such legislation is passed by both chambers of Congress and signed into law by the President, or enacted through a congressional override of a veto during the market period, that market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
Examples of qualifying legislation include bills commonly referred to as the “SAVE Act” (e.g., H.R. 22) or similar proposals such as the “SAVE America Act”. However, the specific bill name, number, or legislative vehicle is not determinative. Any law that contains substantively similar provisions — namely, a requirement for proof of U.S. citizenship to register or vote in federal elections — will qualify, even if enacted under a different title or structure.
Legislation that is introduced, debated, or passed by only one chamber does not qualify. Executive actions, administrative rules, court decisions, or state-level laws do not qualify. Laws that include only indirect, partial, or non-binding provisions related to citizenship verification will not qualify unless they explicitly establish a binding requirement for proof of citizenship for federal election participation.
The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official U.S. government records confirming enactment into law, including Congress.gov, the U.S. Government Publishing Office, or official White House announcements. If official confirmation is delayed or unclear, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will be a clear and overwhelming consensus of major reputable news organizations reporting that such legislation has been enacted into law. Resolution will be based on the substantive enactment of qualifying legislation, not technicalities of naming or formatting. If a fair determination cannot be made, Futuur may cancel the event with a public explanation.