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Michigan's Senate election winner Democratic Party: real money 72%, play money 74% Republican Party: real money 28%, play money 26% Volume: real money 122.89905807, play money 14655.52128593 Bettors: real money 12, play money 11 Categories: Politics, USA, 2026 Midterm Elections, Senate Related markets Who will leave the Trump administration in 2026? (ID: 231765) Volume: real 1693.81254225, play 150233.06645622 Bettors: real 89, play 106 Leading (real money): Tulsi Gabbard 86% Leading (play money): Tulsi Gabbard 97% Trump to serve his full term? (ID: 198250) Volume: real 2770.42679439, play 121513.0852775 Bettors: real 39, play 216 Leading (real money): Trump to serve his full term? 93% Leading (play money): Trump to serve his full term? 80% Will Trump be impeached in his second term? (ID: 212720) Volume: real 3261.29128162, play 139020.85773009 Bettors: real 32, play 212 Leading (real money): Will Trump be impeached in his second term? 40% Leading (play money): Will Trump be impeached in his second term? 46% Will JD Vance be the Republican presidential nominee in 2028? (ID: 222362) Volume: real 1739.70477279, play 37150.61303342 Bettors: real 24, play 120 Leading (real money): Will JD Vance be the Republican presidential nominee in 2028? 41% Leading (play money): Will JD Vance be the Republican presidential nominee in 2028? 75%

Michigan's Senate election winner

Market Rules

This event concerns which political party will win the United States Senate election in the state of Michigan, scheduled for November 3, 2026.

The market corresponding to the party of the candidate who is officially elected to the U.S. Senate seat from Michigan will resolve to "Yes". A candidate will be considered affiliated with a political party based on their official ballot-listed party designation.

If no candidate wins a majority in the general election, this event will resolve based on the official winner according to the electoral plurality rule mandated by Michigan law.

The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be the official certified election results published by the Board of State Canvassers. If official certification is delayed or unclear, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will be a clear and overwhelming consensus of major reputable news organizations reporting the same winner based on official data. Resolution will be based on the officially recognized winning candidate, not concession speeches or preliminary projections. If a fair determination cannot be made, Futuur may cancel the event with a public explanation.

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