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Michigan Governor election winner Democratic Party: real money 62%, play money 62% Republican Party: real money 30%, play money 38% Volume: real money 124.97670008, play money 10100.0025 Bettors: real money 1, play money 1 Categories: Politics, USA, 2026 Elections Related markets Will Trump be impeached in his second term? (ID: 212720) Volume: real 2962.18003222, play 136707.61608244 Bettors: real 26, play 206 Leading (real money): Will Trump be impeached in his second term? 50% Leading (play money): Will Trump be impeached in his second term? 57% Trump to serve his full term? (ID: 198250) Volume: real 2422.49475017, play 113871.83467419 Bettors: real 34, play 205 Leading (real money): Trump to serve his full term? 50% Leading (play money): Trump to serve his full term? 71% Impeachment of any of Brazil's Supreme Court Justices by the end of 2026? (ID: 161037) Volume: real 1755.13293676, play 251150.95481092 Bettors: real 39, play 542 Leading (real money): Impeachment of any of Brazil's Supreme Court Justices by the end of 2026? 51% Leading (play money): Impeachment of any of Brazil's Supreme Court Justices by the end of 2026? 15% Brazil’s Next President Elect (ID: 233774) Volume: real 2666.17861997, play 452427.9782 Bettors: real 73, play 117 Leading (real money): Lula 51% Leading (play money): Lula 75%

Michigan Governor election winner

Market Rules

This event concerns which political party will win the 2026 gubernatorial election in the state of Arizona, scheduled for November 3, 2026.

The market corresponding to the party of the candidate officially elected Governor of Michigan will resolve to "Yes". A candidate will be considered affiliated with a political party based on the official party designation under which they appear on the ballot.

If no candidate wins a majority in the election, this event will resolve based on the official winner according to the electoral plurality rule mandated by Michigan law.

The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be the official certified election results published by the State of Arizona (e.g., the Arizona Secretary of State). If official certification is delayed or unclear, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will be a clear and overwhelming consensus of major reputable news organizations reporting the same winner based on official data. Resolution will be based on the officially certified winner, not projections, concession speeches, or media calls. If a fair determination cannot be made, Futuur may cancel the event with a public explanation.

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