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US monthly inflation rate (CPI) in April Less than 0.2%: real money 5%, play money 8% Between 0.2 and 0.4%: real money 23%, play money 27% More than 0.4%: real money 77%, play money 64% Volume: real money 158.30066686, play money 9583.33173333 Bettors: real money 3, play money 1 Categories: Finance, Economic Indicators, United States, Inflation Related markets Who will leave the Trump administration in 2026? (ID: 231765) Volume: real 640.92898739, play 68989.89904398 Bettors: real 30, play 77 Leading (real money): Kash Patel 66% Leading (play money): Kash Patel 70% Control of the US House of Representatives after the 2026 Elections (ID: 211468) Volume: real 736.33367686, play 31583.12480585 Bettors: real 10, play 45 Leading (real money): Control of the US House of Representatives after the 2026 Elections 50% Leading (play money): Control of the US House of Representatives after the 2026 Elections 19% Trump to serve his full term? (ID: 198250) Volume: real 2422.49475017, play 113871.83467419 Bettors: real 34, play 205 Leading (real money): Trump to serve his full term? 50% Leading (play money): Trump to serve his full term? 71% Winner of the next US Presidential Election (ID: 211457) Volume: real 1935.24408401, play 35762.14306169 Bettors: real 18, play 81 Leading (real money): Winner of the next US Presidential Election 50% Leading (play money): Winner of the next US Presidential Election 42% Will Trump be impeached in his second term? (ID: 212720) Volume: real 2962.18003222, play 136707.61608244 Bettors: real 26, play 206 Leading (real money): Will Trump be impeached in his second term? 50% Leading (play money): Will Trump be impeached in his second term? 57%

US monthly inflation rate (CPI) in April

Market Rules

This event predicts the United States CPI inflation rate for April 2026 measured as the one-month percent change in CPI-U (Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers), seasonally adjusted, from March to April 2026. The Primary Designated Source (PDS) is the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) Consumer Price Index news release and associated CPI tables for April 2026, including the value reported as “1-month percent change (seasonally adjusted)” for CPI-U.

If the BLS changes its CPI presentation or table structure before publishing the April 2026 data, Futuur will select the most directly comparable CPI-U month-over-month, seasonally adjusted percent-change figure consistent with the intent of the markets. The markets will be resolved using the initially published figure at release time (not later revisions). Resolution will prioritize the substantive economic outcome and market intent over minor technicalities in formatting or presentation, and Futuur may cancel the markets with a public explanation if a fair determination becomes impossible.

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