Kash Patel out by May 31? Yes: real money 13%, play money 20% No: real money 87%, play money 80% Volume: real money 164.15767077, play money 10000 Bettors: real money 2, play money 0 Categories: Politics, USA, White House, Staff and Cabinet Related markets Will Trump be impeached in his second term? (ID: 212720) Volume: real 3007.08647864, play 136868.79585516 Bettors: real 30, play 208 Leading (real money): Will Trump be impeached in his second term? 8% Leading (play money): Will Trump be impeached in his second term? 57% Trump to serve his full term? (ID: 198250) Volume: real 2608.60104832, play 114652.95944582 Bettors: real 39, play 210 Leading (real money): Trump to serve his full term? 94% Leading (play money): Trump to serve his full term? 74%

Kash Patel out by May 31?

Market Rules

If Kash Patel ceases to hold the office of Director of the United States Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI) at any time before 23:59:59 UTC on May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes". Patel’s exit includes resignation, dismissal/firing by the President, formal removal, death, or any other cause.

A formal leave of absence in which Patel officially retains the directorship does NOT trigger a “Yes” resolution unless converted into a resignation or termination by the deadline; if a temporary acting director is appointed but Patel remains the legally designated Director through the deadline, the market resolves to "No".

Primary Designated Sources for this market are official FBI communications (fbi.gov), the White House Office of the Press Secretary, and corroboration by major news agencies and outlets.

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