Markets
Leaderboard
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? Yes: real money 27%, play money 27% No: real money 73%, play money 73% Volume: real money 1.43712106, play money 627.51836688 Bettors: real money 4, play money 5 Categories: Politics, World Politics, Multilateral Organizations Related markets Will Israel normalize relations with _____ in 2026? (ID: 231743) Volume: real 123.4620898, play 7597.33622692 Bettors: real 19, play 15 Leading (real money): Saudi Arabia 11% Leading (play money): Qatar 12% Iran leadership change by...? (ID: 235762) Volume: real 422.945184, play 39742.49503365 Bettors: real 16, play 20 Leading (real money): December 31 20% Leading (play money): December 31 21% Will a US-Iran nuclear control deal be signed in 2026? (ID: 231622) Volume: real 593.7374284, play 89157.46318497 Bettors: real 14, play 24 Leading (real money): Will a US-Iran nuclear control deal be signed in 2026? 17% Leading (play money): Will a US-Iran nuclear control deal be signed in 2026? 38% Will Iran no longer be an Islamic Republic by the end of 2026? (ID: 231628) Volume: real 195.67318871, play 30392.86154679 Bettors: real 11, play 27 Leading (real money): Will Iran no longer be an Islamic Republic by the end of 2026? 6% Leading (play money): Will Iran no longer be an Islamic Republic by the end of 2026? 3% Brazil to join the OECD by the end of 2026? (ID: 166867) Volume: real 476.52461407, play 17331.88098013 Bettors: real 9, play 34 Leading (real money): Brazil to join the OECD by the end of 2026? 7% Leading (play money): Brazil to join the OECD by the end of 2026? 2%

Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?

Market Rules

This event predicts whether any member country will formally announce its withdrawal from the OPEC or OPEC+ alliance by December 31, 2026 (inclusive), after the United Arab Emirates’ exit from this group. The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official announcements or statements by the withdrawing country or by OPEC confirming a member’s departure.

If any country officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC or OPEC+ during this period, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Temporary non-compliance with production quotas, disputes, or informal statements will not count as a departure. If official announcements are unclear, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will rely on consistent reporting from major international energy news organizations. Resolution will reflect the substantive announcement of withdrawal, not temporary disagreements. If a definitive determination cannot be made, Futuur may cancel this market with a public explanation.

Tags

People also viewed