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Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? Yes: real money 27%, play money 27% No: real money 73%, play money 73% Volume: real money 151.39212106, play money 15357.24895954 Bettors: real money 4, play money 3 Categories: Politics, World Politics, Multilateral Organizations Related markets Iran leadership change by...? (ID: 235762) Volume: real 483.95772183, play 45932.12877988 Bettors: real 16, play 20 Leading (real money): December 31 30% Leading (play money): December 31 32% EUR/USD exchange rate at the end of 2026 (ID: 231725) Volume: real 240.92530186, play 12151.8899 Bettors: real 26, play 14 Leading (real money): Between 1.10 and 1.17 47% Leading (play money): Between 1.10 and 1.17 36% Will a US-Iran nuclear control deal be signed in 2026? (ID: 231622) Volume: real 556.31238493, play 84588.59358928 Bettors: real 12, play 21 Leading (real money): Will a US-Iran nuclear control deal be signed in 2026? 68% Leading (play money): Will a US-Iran nuclear control deal be signed in 2026? 61% Will Iran no longer be an Islamic Republic by the end of 2026? (ID: 231628) Volume: real 376.50396872, play 34966.10963707 Bettors: real 11, play 27 Leading (real money): Will Iran no longer be an Islamic Republic by the end of 2026? 8% Leading (play money): Will Iran no longer be an Islamic Republic by the end of 2026? 14% Brazil to join the OECD by the end of 2026? (ID: 166867) Volume: real 660.70111399, play 19996.97653673 Bettors: real 9, play 34 Leading (real money): Brazil to join the OECD by the end of 2026? 7% Leading (play money): Brazil to join the OECD by the end of 2026? 5%

Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?

Market Rules

This event predicts whether any member country will formally announce its withdrawal from the OPEC or OPEC+ alliance by December 31, 2026 (inclusive), after the United Arab Emirates’ exit from this group. The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official announcements or statements by the withdrawing country or by OPEC confirming a member’s departure.

If any country officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC or OPEC+ during this period, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Temporary non-compliance with production quotas, disputes, or informal statements will not count as a departure. If official announcements are unclear, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will rely on consistent reporting from major international energy news organizations. Resolution will reflect the substantive announcement of withdrawal, not temporary disagreements. If a definitive determination cannot be made, Futuur may cancel this market with a public explanation.

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