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Will the US PCE annual inflation be greater than 3.8% in May? Yes: real money 92%, play money 76% No: real money 8%, play money 24% Volume: real money 769.30519688, play money 39015.90620295 Bettors: real money 7, play money 5 Categories: Finance, Economic Indicators, United States, Inflation Related markets Winner of the next US Presidential Election (ID: 211457) Volume: real 1665.02450162, play 28490.17512169 Bettors: real 23, play 85 Leading (real money): Winner of the next US Presidential Election 46% Leading (play money): Winner of the next US Presidential Election 38% Who will leave the Trump administration in 2026? (ID: 231765) Volume: real 1338.26635654, play 137521.52611427 Bettors: real 83, play 106 Leading (real money): Tulsi Gabbard 86% Leading (play money): Tulsi Gabbard 97% Control of the US House of Representatives after the 2026 Elections (ID: 211468) Volume: real 1083.15402801, play 42985.82935825 Bettors: real 18, play 52 Leading (real money): Control of the US House of Representatives after the 2026 Elections 6% Leading (play money): Control of the US House of Representatives after the 2026 Elections 23% Trump to serve his full term? (ID: 198250) Volume: real 2715.2344096, play 116466.23915531 Bettors: real 39, play 212 Leading (real money): Trump to serve his full term? 93% Leading (play money): Trump to serve his full term? 72% Will Trump be impeached in his second term? (ID: 212720) Volume: real 3246.73501219, play 134134.83831538 Bettors: real 30, play 210 Leading (real money): Will Trump be impeached in his second term? 2% Leading (play money): Will Trump be impeached in his second term? 55%

Will the US PCE annual inflation be greater than 3.8% in May?

Market Rules

This market aims to predict whether the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index for May 2026 will grow by more than 3.8% year over year (i.e., in comparison to May 2025).

This market will be resolved according to the PCE Index report scheduled to be released by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) on June 25, 2026. This market will be resolved based on the number originally released by BEA, and will not be impacted by subsequent adjustments. If the BEA changes its method for calculating the PCE Index, Futuur will use its discretion to determine the most comparable figure for resolution.

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