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Will the US PCE annual inflation be greater than 3.8% in May? Yes: real money 58%, play money 58% No: real money 42%, play money 42% Volume: real money 199.96, play money 20000 Bettors: real money 0, play money 0 Categories: Finance, Economic Indicators, United States, Inflation Related markets Who will leave the Trump administration in 2026? (ID: 231765) Volume: real 925.24553164, play 127895.40979507 Bettors: real 65, play 85 Leading (real money): Tulsi Gabbard 86% Leading (play money): Tulsi Gabbard 97% Trump to serve his full term? (ID: 198250) Volume: real 2609.78775908, play 114986.66327483 Bettors: real 39, play 211 Leading (real money): Trump to serve his full term? 93% Leading (play money): Trump to serve his full term? 74% Control of the US House of Representatives after the 2026 Elections (ID: 211468) Volume: real 1268.06728697, play 40478.30831664 Bettors: real 16, play 51 Leading (real money): Control of the US House of Representatives after the 2026 Elections 25% Leading (play money): Control of the US House of Representatives after the 2026 Elections 44% Winner of the next US Presidential Election (ID: 211457) Volume: real 2044.86415693, play 36521.10714014 Bettors: real 22, play 83 Leading (real money): Winner of the next US Presidential Election 46% Leading (play money): Winner of the next US Presidential Election 36% Will Trump be impeached in his second term? (ID: 212720) Volume: real 3007.5194239, play 137081.00274465 Bettors: real 30, play 209 Leading (real money): Will Trump be impeached in his second term? 11% Leading (play money): Will Trump be impeached in his second term? 57%

Will the US PCE annual inflation be greater than 3.8% in May?

Market Rules

This market aims to predict whether the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index for May 2026 will grow by more than 3.8% year over year (i.e., in comparison to May 2025).

This market will be resolved according to the PCE Index report scheduled to be released by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) on June 25, 2026. This market will be resolved based on the number originally released by BEA, and will not be impacted by subsequent adjustments. If the BEA changes its method for calculating the PCE Index, Futuur will use its discretion to determine the most comparable figure for resolution.

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