Will AWS revenue grow by more than 28% in Q2 (YoY)?
Market Rules
Primary Designated Source (PDS): This market resolves based on the Amazon Web Services (AWS) segment revenue for Amazon.com, Inc. in the second quarter of 2026, as reported in Amazon’s official financial disclosures. For the purposes of this market, Q2 2026 means the quarter ending on June 30, 2026, and “revenue” refers to AWS segment sales in U.S. dollars. The PDS will be Amazon’s official Q2 2026 earnings materials, including its earnings press release and the corresponding SEC filing (Form 10-K or Form 10-Q) that explicitly states AWS segment revenue. If the reported AWS segment revenue for Q2 2026 exceeds USD 48.111 billion (a threshold corresponding to more than 28% year-over-year growth versus Q2 2025), the market will resolve to “Yes”; otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM): If the PDS is unavailable, materially delayed, or ambiguous with respect to AWS segment revenue for Q2 2026, resolution will rely on credible financial news outlets and data providers reporting the same figure or clearly indicating whether AWS revenue exceeded USD 48.111 billion. In all cases, Futuur will resolve the market according to the substantive real-world outcome and the evident intent of the question, not on minor technicalities such as rounding conventions or later restatements that do not materially change whether the threshold was crossed. If reliable sources conflict in a way that cannot be reasonably reconciled or the underlying data becomes impossible to determine, Futuur may, at its discretion, void the market to preserve fairness.