US core inflation rate in June (month-over-month CPI) Less than 0.2%: real money 22%, play money 33% Between 0.2 and 0.4%: real money 79%, play money 47% More than 0.4%: real money 10%, play money 22% Volume: real money 984.23491764, play money 15825.09324391 Bettors: real money 11, play money 4 Categories: Finance, Economic Indicators, United States, Inflation Related markets Winner of the next US Presidential Election (ID: 211457) Volume: real 1665.02450162, play 28331.44766899 Bettors: real 23, play 85 Leading (real money): Winner of the next US Presidential Election 46% Leading (play money): Winner of the next US Presidential Election 38% Who will leave the Trump administration in 2026? (ID: 231765) Volume: real 1321.77542195, play 137055.46296636 Bettors: real 83, play 105 Leading (real money): Tulsi Gabbard 86% Leading (play money): Tulsi Gabbard 97% Control of the US House of Representatives after the 2026 Elections (ID: 211468) Volume: real 1028.37593517, play 31859.55935825 Bettors: real 18, play 52 Leading (real money): Control of the US House of Representatives after the 2026 Elections 15% Leading (play money): Control of the US House of Representatives after the 2026 Elections 43% Trump to serve his full term? (ID: 198250) Volume: real 2715.2344096, play 116466.23915531 Bettors: real 39, play 212 Leading (real money): Trump to serve his full term? 93% Leading (play money): Trump to serve his full term? 72% Will Trump be impeached in his second term? (ID: 212720) Volume: real 3246.73501219, play 134134.83831538 Bettors: real 30, play 210 Leading (real money): Will Trump be impeached in his second term? 2% Leading (play money): Will Trump be impeached in his second term? 55%

US core inflation rate in June (month-over-month CPI)

Market Rules

This event predicts the United States core CPI inflation rate for June 2026, measured as the one-month percent change in CPI-U less food and energy (often labeled “All items less food and energy”), seasonally adjusted, from May to June , 2026. The Primary Designated Source (PDS) is the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) Consumer Price Index news release and associated CPI tables for June 2026, including the value reported as “1-month percent change (seasonally adjusted)” for “All items less food and energy."

If the BLS changes its CPI presentation or table structure before publishing the June 2026 data, Futuur will select the most directly comparable CPI-U month-over-month, seasonally adjusted percent-change figure for all items less food and energy, consistent with the intent of the markets. The markets will be resolved using the initially published figure at release time (not later revisions). Resolution will prioritize the substantive economic outcome and market intent over minor technicalities in formatting or presentation, and Futuur may cancel the markets with a public explanation if a fair determination becomes impossible.

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