US Presidential Election Winner in 2028
Market Rules
This set of markets predicts the winner of the November 7, 2028, U.S. presidential general election. Each market below corresponds to one candidate, of which exactly one will resolve "Yes".
Resolution is intended to occur within days of election day, not to wait for Electoral College certification. The Primary Designated Source is the Associated Press presidential race call. Resolution is triggered as soon as the AP has called the race and at least two of the following also call the same winner: Reuters, Fox News, The New York Times.
In the case of a major discrepancy between these sources that persists beyond seven days after election day, resolution will instead be based on the aggregate of official state-certified results from each state's Secretary of State office, determining which candidate holds a majority of Electoral College votes. Once resolved under this mechanism, the resolution is final and irrevocable — subsequent recounts, lawsuits, certification disputes, Electoral College defections, or congressional actions on January 6, 2029, will not reopen the resolution.
If the election is canceled, postponed, or the above mechanism can determine no winner by December 15, 2028, Futuur may consider whether to postpone the markets' resolution, or to resolve all candidate markets to "No.