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US GDP growth in Q3 2026 Less than 0.5%: real money —, play money — Between 0.5% and 1.0%: real money —, play money — Between 1.0% and 1.5%: real money —, play money — Between 1.5% and 2.0%: real money —, play money — Between 2.0% and 2.5%: real money —, play money — Between 2.5% and 3.0%: real money —, play money — More than 3.0%: real money —, play money — Volume: real money 0, play money 0 Bettors: real money 0, play money 0 Categories: Finance, Economic Indicators, United States, GDP Related markets Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the Democratic presidential nominee in 2028? (ID: 222364) Volume: real 45.29570703, play 2285.67305726 Bettors: real 7, play 14 Leading (real money): Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the Democratic presidential nominee in 2028? 10% Leading (play money): Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the Democratic presidential nominee in 2028? 15% Brazil's GDP annual growth rate in 2026 (ID: 235040) Volume: real 112.52574459, play 13367.42770792 Bettors: real 21, play 13 Leading (real money): Between 1.6% and 2.0% 55% Leading (play money): Between 1.6% and 2.0% 46% Brazil’s public debt-GDP ratio at the end of 2026 (ID: 235044) Volume: real 305.50969323, play 7993.74039514 Bettors: real 32, play 18 Leading (real money): Between 82.1% and 87.0% 51% Leading (play money): Between 82.1% and 87.0% 33% Will Gavin Newsom be the Democratic presidential nominee in 2028? (ID: 222363) Volume: real 226.21569691, play 4616.10932043 Bettors: real 13, play 19 Leading (real money): Will Gavin Newsom be the Democratic presidential nominee in 2028? 47% Leading (play money): Will Gavin Newsom be the Democratic presidential nominee in 2028? 45% Will JD Vance be the Republican presidential nominee in 2028? (ID: 222362) Volume: real 1619.71988078, play 36328.18707992 Bettors: real 24, play 118 Leading (real money): Will JD Vance be the Republican presidential nominee in 2028? 49% Leading (play money): Will JD Vance be the Republican presidential nominee in 2028? 75%

US GDP growth in Q3 2026

Market Rules

Markets in this event resolve according to the seasonally adjusted, annualized growth rate of US real GDP for Q3 2026, per the "Advance Estimate" published by the Bureau of Economic Analysis, scheduled for release on October 29, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, the higher range wins. Exactly one outcome will resolve "Yes".

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