US nonfarm payrolls — August 2026
Above 20,000: real money 86%, play money 85%
Above 30,000: real money 80%, play money 80%
Above 40,000: real money 81%, play money 81%
Above 50,000: real money 65%, play money 65%
Above 60,000: real money 66%, play money 66%
Above 70,000: real money 57%, play money 57%
Above 80,000: real money 52%, play money 52%
Above 90,000: real money 48%, play money 48%
Above 100,000: real money 45%, play money 45%
Above 125,000: real money 39%, play money 39%
Volume: real money 0, play money 0
Bettors: real money 0, play money 0
Categories: Finance, Economic Indicators, United States, Employment
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Market Rules
Each market in this event resolves "Yes" if the month-over-month increase in total US nonfarm payroll employment for August 2026, as first reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report, is above the listed threshold. Markets resolve independently — every threshold below the reported figure resolves "Yes".