Markets
Leaderboard
US nonfarm payrolls — August 2026 Above 20,000: real money 89%, play money 89% Above 30,000: real money 86%, play money 80% Above 40,000: real money 76%, play money 81% Above 50,000: real money 45%, play money 65% Above 60,000: real money 36%, play money 66% Above 70,000: real money 31%, play money 57% Above 80,000: real money 28%, play money 52% Above 90,000: real money 29%, play money 48% Above 100,000: real money 14%, play money 45% Above 125,000: real money 11%, play money 39% Volume: real money 588.96839315, play money 559.58011901 Bettors: real money 43, play money 2 Categories: Finance, Economic Indicators, United States, Employment Related markets Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the Democratic presidential nominee in 2028? (ID: 222364) Volume: real 82.61041415, play 4414.35042375 Bettors: real 8, play 16 Leading (real money): Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the Democratic presidential nominee in 2028? 21% Leading (play money): Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the Democratic presidential nominee in 2028? 20% How high will the 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027? (ID: 242636) Volume: real 896.63130834, play 64450.38171734 Bettors: real 22, play 13 Leading (real money): Hit 5.2% 99% Leading (play money): Hit 5.0% 99% Will Gavin Newsom be the Democratic presidential nominee in 2028? (ID: 222363) Volume: real 292.70673305, play 8707.76416891 Bettors: real 15, play 19 Leading (real money): Will Gavin Newsom be the Democratic presidential nominee in 2028? 33% Leading (play money): Will Gavin Newsom be the Democratic presidential nominee in 2028? 35% Will JD Vance be the Republican presidential nominee in 2028? (ID: 222362) Volume: real 1655.2215382, play 37150.61303342 Bettors: real 24, play 120 Leading (real money): Will JD Vance be the Republican presidential nominee in 2028? 51% Leading (play money): Will JD Vance be the Republican presidential nominee in 2028? 75%

US nonfarm payrolls — August 2026

Market Rules

Each market in this event resolves "Yes" if the month-over-month increase in total US nonfarm payroll employment for August 2026, as first reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report, is above the listed threshold. Markets resolve independently — every threshold below the reported figure resolves "Yes".

Tags

People also viewed