US Core CPI inflation (month-over-month) — July 2026 Above 0.0%: real money 93%, play money 93% Above 0.1%: real money 75%, play money 75% Above 0.2%: real money 14%, play money 15% Above 0.3%: real money 7%, play money 7% Above 0.4%: real money 5%, play money 5% Above 0.5%: real money 3%, play money 3% Above 0.6%: real money 2%, play money 2% Above 0.7%: real money 1%, play money 1% Above 0.8%: real money 1%, play money 1% Above 1.0%: real money 8%, play money 8% Volume: real money 0, play money 0 Bettors: real money 0, play money 0 Categories: Finance, Economic Indicators, United States, Inflation Related markets Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the Democratic presidential nominee in 2028? (ID: 222364) Volume: real 45.29570703, play 2285.67305726 Bettors: real 7, play 14 Leading (real money): Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the Democratic presidential nominee in 2028? 10% Leading (play money): Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the Democratic presidential nominee in 2028? 15% US annual inflation rate (CPI) at the end of 2026? (ID: 231758) Volume: real 35.39676923, play 50.49806122 Bettors: real 26, play 12 Leading (real money): Between 2.5% and 2,9% 41% Leading (play money): Between 2.5% and 2,9% 42% Will Gavin Newsom be the Democratic presidential nominee in 2028? (ID: 222363) Volume: real 226.21569691, play 4616.10932043 Bettors: real 13, play 19 Leading (real money): Will Gavin Newsom be the Democratic presidential nominee in 2028? 47% Leading (play money): Will Gavin Newsom be the Democratic presidential nominee in 2028? 45% Will JD Vance be the Republican presidential nominee in 2028? (ID: 222362) Volume: real 1619.71988078, play 36328.18707992 Bettors: real 24, play 118 Leading (real money): Will JD Vance be the Republican presidential nominee in 2028? 49% Leading (play money): Will JD Vance be the Republican presidential nominee in 2028? 75%

US Core CPI inflation (month-over-month) — July 2026

Market Rules

Each market in this event resolves "Yes" if the seasonally adjusted month-over-month percentage change in the US Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI) for July 2026, as first reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (one decimal place), is greater than the listed threshold. Markets resolve independently — every threshold below the reported figure resolves "Yes".

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