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Bank of Mexico interest rate decision — September 2026 50+ bps decrease: real money 1%, play money 1% 25 bps decrease: real money 1%, play money 3% No change: real money 94%, play money 96% 25 bps increase: real money 5%, play money 1% 50+ bps increase: real money 1%, play money 1% Volume: real money 828.27098872, play money 2095.61135127 Bettors: real money 8, play money 2 Categories: Finance, Economic Indicators, Mexico Related markets Will Mexico and _____ resume diplomatic relations in 2026? (ID: 231747) Volume: real 570.20101317, play 79574.3537122 Bettors: real 13, play 15 Leading (real money): Peru 99% Leading (play money): Peru 99% United Kingdom’s interest rate at the end of 2026 (ID: 231730) Volume: real 549.25381012, play 19358.62570033 Bettors: real 32, play 25 Leading (real money): Greater than 3.75% 43% Leading (play money): 3.25% 29% Will Claudia Sheinbaum be Mexico's president through the end of 2026? (ID: 232194) Volume: real 63.59501186, play 16865.72161544 Bettors: real 8, play 12 Leading (real money): Will Claudia Sheinbaum be Mexico's president through the end of 2026? 93% Leading (play money): Will Claudia Sheinbaum be Mexico's president through the end of 2026? 97% US basic interest rate at the end of 2026 (ID: 231723) Volume: real 804.46714936, play 86423.24639342 Bettors: real 40, play 31 Leading (real money): 3.5% or more 85% Leading (play money): 3.5% or more 72% Number of FOMC meetings with FED interest rate cuts in the US in 2026 (ID: 231724) Volume: real 1814.66438898, play 30956.08789273 Bettors: real 61, play 33 Leading (real money): 0 87% Leading (play money): 0 61%

Bank of Mexico interest rate decision — September 2026

Market Rules

Markets in this event resolve according to the change, in basis points, in the Bank of Mexico’s target for the overnight interbank interest rate (the upper bound, if defined as a range) resulting from the Bank of Mexico’s September 2026 monetary policy meeting (scheduled for September 24, 2026), relative to its level immediately prior to the meeting. Exactly one outcome will resolve "Yes".

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