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Bank of Japan interest rate decision — October 2026 50+ bps decrease: real money 1%, play money 1% 25 bps decrease: real money 1%, play money 1% No change: real money 94%, play money 94% 25 bps increase: real money 6%, play money 5% 50+ bps increase: real money 1%, play money 1% Volume: real money 225.14889806, play money 22021.42582355 Bettors: real money 7, play money 2 Categories: Finance, Economic Indicators, Japan Related markets How high will the 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027? (ID: 242636) Volume: real 772.5424382, play 64450.38171734 Bettors: real 18, play 13 Leading (real money): Hit 5.2% 99% Leading (play money): Hit 5.0% 99% United Kingdom’s interest rate at the end of 2026 (ID: 231730) Volume: real 888.46857274, play 126870.5934067 Bettors: real 32, play 26 Leading (real money): Greater than 3.75% 69% Leading (play money): Greater than 3.75% 69% US basic interest rate at the end of 2026 (ID: 231723) Volume: real 923.16006409, play 112232.72867893 Bettors: real 40, play 33 Leading (real money): 3.5% or more 89% Leading (play money): 3.5% or more 89% MSCI World Index performance in 2026 (ID: 231735) Volume: real 341.02146297, play 8171.11639698 Bettors: real 22, play 12 Leading (real money): Above 10% 65% Leading (play money): Between 5% and 10% 35% Number of FOMC meetings with FED interest rate cuts in the US in 2026 (ID: 231724) Volume: real 1870.58865087, play 49082.93105834 Bettors: real 61, play 33 Leading (real money): 0 89% Leading (play money): 0 89%

Bank of Japan interest rate decision — October 2026

Market Rules

Markets in this event resolve according to the change, in basis points, in the upper bound of the Bank of Japan’s short-term policy interest rate resulting from the Bank of Japan’s October 2026 Monetary Policy Meeting (statement scheduled for October 30, 2026), relative to its level immediately prior to the meeting. Exactly one outcome will resolve "Yes".

 

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