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Japan 10-year government bond yield at the end of 2026 Between 2.8% and 3.0%: real money 27%, play money 23% Between 2.6% and 2.8%: real money 24%, play money 27% 3.0% or more: real money 22%, play money 15% Between 2.4% and 2.6%: real money 13%, play money 13% Between 2.0% and 2.2%: real money 7%, play money 11% Between 2.2% and 2.4%: real money 3%, play money 5% Below 2.0%: real money 3%, play money 4% Volume: real money 267.27439785, play money 30113.03720968 Bettors: real money 15, play money 6 Categories: Finance, Economic Indicators, Japan Related markets How high will the 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027? (ID: 242636) Volume: real 942.04410049, play 64450.38171734 Bettors: real 23, play 13 Leading (real money): Hit 5.0% 99% Leading (play money): Hit 5.0% 99% Japan 2-year government bond yield at the end of 2026 (ID: 246145) Volume: real 123.65489774, play — Bettors: real 4, play 0 Leading (real money): 2.0% or more 40% Leading (play money): Between 1.4% and 1.6% 35% MSCI Emerging Markets Index performance in 2026 (ID: 231734) Volume: real 749.75880812, play 100.399 Bettors: real 23, play 9 Leading (real money): Between 10% and 20% 41% Leading (play money): Between 10% and 20% 39% MSCI World Index performance in 2026 (ID: 231735) Volume: real 652.71474793, play 8171.11639698 Bettors: real 22, play 12 Leading (real money): Above 10% 32% Leading (play money): Between 5% and 10% 35%

Japan 10-year government bond yield at the end of 2026

Market Rules

Markets in this event resolve according to the 10-year Japanese government bond (JGB) yield on the last reported day of 2026, per the value in the "10Y" column of the Japanese Ministry of Finance's "Interest Rate" data for Japanese Government Bonds (mof.go.jp). The market whose range contains the reported value will resolve "Yes"; a value falling exactly on a boundary between two brackets counts toward the higher bracket. Exactly one outcome wins.

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