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Bank of Japan interest rate decision — December 2026 50+ bps decrease: real money 1%, play money 1% 25 bps decrease: real money 1%, play money 1% No change: real money 10%, play money 10% 25 bps increase: real money 87%, play money 87% 50+ bps increase: real money 1%, play money 1% Volume: real money 0, play money 0 Bettors: real money 0, play money 0 Categories: Finance, Economic Indicators, Japan Related markets Russia’s interest rate at the end of 2026 (ID: 231731) Volume: real 467.43911053, play 44230.98845802 Bettors: real 24, play 14 Leading (real money): Between 14.00% and 15.75% 60% Leading (play money): Between 12.00% and 13.75% 57% United Kingdom’s interest rate at the end of 2026 (ID: 231730) Volume: real 1197.96938795, play 158677.49001942 Bettors: real 33, play 28 Leading (real money): Greater than 3.75% 93% Leading (play money): Greater than 3.75% 79% US basic interest rate at the end of 2026 (ID: 231723) Volume: real 1012.11697173, play 119694.55661901 Bettors: real 41, play 33 Leading (real money): 3.5% or more 92% Leading (play money): 3.5% or more 92% MSCI World Index performance in 2026 (ID: 231735) Volume: real 652.71474793, play 8171.11639698 Bettors: real 22, play 12 Leading (real money): Above 10% 32% Leading (play money): Between 5% and 10% 35% Number of FOMC meetings with FED interest rate cuts in the US in 2026 (ID: 231724) Volume: real 1922.14262321, play 49243.53820347 Bettors: real 62, play 34 Leading (real money): 0 91% Leading (play money): 0 89%

Bank of Japan interest rate decision — December 2026

Market Rules

This event covers only the decision announced at the Bank of Japan’s December 2026 Monetary Policy Meeting (scheduled for December 17–18, 2026). Markets resolve according to the change, in basis points, in the upper bound of the Bank of Japan’s short-term policy interest rate resulting from that meeting, relative to its level immediately prior to the meeting. Exactly one outcome will resolve "Yes".

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