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Bank of Mexico interest rate decision — December 2026 50+ bps decrease: real money 1%, play money 1% 25 bps decrease: real money 18%, play money 18% No change: real money 79%, play money 79% 25 bps increase: real money 1%, play money 1% 50+ bps increase: real money 1%, play money 1% Volume: real money 0, play money 0 Bettors: real money 0, play money 0 Categories: Finance, Economic Indicators, Mexico Related markets Will Mexico and _____ resume diplomatic relations in 2026? (ID: 231747) Volume: real 570.20101317, play 82738.7157116 Bettors: real 13, play 15 Leading (real money): Peru 99% Leading (play money): Peru 99% How high will the 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027? (ID: 242636) Volume: real 942.04410049, play 64450.38171734 Bettors: real 23, play 13 Leading (real money): Hit 5.0% 99% Leading (play money): Hit 5.0% 99% Will Claudia Sheinbaum be Mexico's president through the end of 2026? (ID: 232194) Volume: real 63.59501186, play 16865.72161544 Bettors: real 8, play 12 Leading (real money): Will Claudia Sheinbaum be Mexico's president through the end of 2026? 93% Leading (play money): Will Claudia Sheinbaum be Mexico's president through the end of 2026? 97% Will STRC hit $100 in 2026 by ___? (ID: 242637) Volume: real 1424.01869228, play 98117.60304907 Bettors: real 13, play 10 Leading (real money): By December 31 98% Leading (play money): By December 31 99% MSCI World Index performance in 2026 (ID: 231735) Volume: real 652.71474793, play 8171.11639698 Bettors: real 22, play 12 Leading (real money): Above 10% 32% Leading (play money): Between 5% and 10% 35%

Bank of Mexico interest rate decision — December 2026

Market Rules

This event covers only the decision announced at the Bank of Mexico's December 2026 monetary policy meeting (scheduled for December 17, 2026). Markets resolve according to the change, in basis points, in the Bank of Mexico's target for the overnight interbank interest rate (the upper bound, if defined as a range) resulting from that meeting, relative to its level immediately prior to the meeting. Exactly one outcome will resolve "Yes".

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