What will be the price of Bitcoin at the end of April?
Market Rules
The winning outcome for this market will be the alternative whose range of values contains the price of a unit of Bitcoin (1 BTC) on April 30, 2022, at 23:59:59, UTC, according to data made available by Coingecko at https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/bitcoin.
If there’s no data available for that precise moment in time, the listed price that is closest to that moment will be used to resolve this market.
Comments
- Moraks: 38,350.50USD
- deagol: Moraks No, you must be looking at the wrong time zone (happened to me before). 37,821 close for April 30 as seen here https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/bitcoin/historical_data
- deagol: FutuurBot @tom Since yesterday this market as well as several others seems to be broken in its computations of changes in existing bet value for sale and new bet pricing. I noticed an unusually big decline in the value of my bets, in some cases even without any betting activity by other forecasters, so I went ahead and sold in order to readjust my bet amount higher, and turned out the price to buy it back was the same (or very close to) as it was before the decline, which means I just lost that amount forever. This is similar but not quite the same behavior of a few months ago when you were testing a fatally flawed tax system per transaction (instead of the only sensible way which would be per outcome), paid up every time whether you win or lose the bet, and which was later promised not to be implemented after some discussion. See this thread https://community.futuur.com/d/32734-all-bets-hit-with-5-without-warning After selling and repositioning all of these markets trying to understand what was going on, in some cases doing so a couple times back and forth (losing big each time), and several with high stakes, I notice my account total (cash balance + active bets) is now lower by about 25k ø. And I’m pretty sure there were no significant bets by others (enough to explain a 25k loss) in these markets, only my own activity. Fortunately I have plenty more of them fake-money chips, and the few real money bets I have seem unaffected, for now. What money-grab scheme are you testing now, again without a single warning for neither existing nor new bets? And how on earth you feel it’s appropriate to run such highly impactful (on the value of our bets but also and most importantly on our trust on you) tests of newfangled pricing systems, on live markets, and without any kind of announcement? These are not inconsequential cosmetic UI changes, on the contrary they are the fundamental differentiation features of this platform: the ability to sell and buy back our forecasts against other forecasters’ activity and to adjust given new information. This recurring behavior is extremely abusive of the trust we all require out of your platform to be putting our real money on the line.