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How much jail time will Sam Bankman-Fried (SBF) be sentenced to if he is convicted in the FTX trial? Between 30 and 50 years: real money 24%, play money 8% More than 20, less than 30 years: real money 23%, play money 6% More than 50, less than 80 years: real money 20%, play money 1% Between 10 and 20 years: real money 15%, play money 31% Between 80 and 115 years: real money 7%, play money 48% More than 5, less than 10 years: real money 5%, play money 2% More than 115: real money 3%, play money 2% Up to 5 years in prison: real money 2%, play money 1% No Jail time at all: real money 1%, play money 2% Volume: real money 383.68019109, play money 28065.51 Bettors: real money 33, play money 64 Categories: Finance, Crypto, Regulation Related markets Will Bitcoin mining be regulated in the US by the end of 2026? (ID: 231597) Volume: real 205.15857828, play 20299.9994 Bettors: real 5, play 3 Leading (real money): Will Bitcoin mining be regulated in the US by the end of 2026? 30% Leading (play money): Will Bitcoin mining be regulated in the US by the end of 2026? 31% Will China allow banking operations using virtual currencies again in 2026? (ID: 231678) Volume: real 201.16263832, play 44899.9911 Bettors: real 5, play 5 Leading (real money): Will China allow banking operations using virtual currencies again in 2026? 10% Leading (play money): Will China allow banking operations using virtual currencies again in 2026? 4% Will the Clarity Act be signed into law in 2026? (ID: 231555) Volume: real 240.15314298, play 21010.0007 Bettors: real 6, play 6 Leading (real money): Will the Clarity Act be signed into law in 2026? 58% Leading (play money): Will the Clarity Act be signed into law in 2026? 58%

How much jail time will Sam Bankman-Fried (SBF) be sentenced to if he is convicted in the FTX trial?

Market Rules

Cryptocurrency exchange FTX collapsed in the first days of November 2022, after the disclosure that part of the company’s fund Alameda Research’s equity was backed in tokens issued by the company itself. Despite having made public statements about the solidity of FTX's assets and having pleaded not guilty, the company’s chief-executive Sam Bankman-Fried filed for bankruptcy, was arrested, and might face up to 115 years in prison if found guilty of all 8 criminal charges put against him by the US justice system.

This market will resolve in favor of the alternative whose range of values contains the amount of time SBF is sentenced to serve in prison if found guilty of any of the criminal charges brought against him on the trial related to the FTX fraud scheme.

If SBF's trial does not come to an end by the deadline for bets in this market, Futuur may decide to adjust the deadline for bets to reflect the progress of the trial.

This market will not be reviewed if the sentence is amended after its initial publication, nor if the actual time served by SBF is modified for any reason such as good behavior. It is also irrelevant to this market whether SBF serves his time in prison or home arrest.

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