Markets
Leaderboard
Atmospheric nitrous oxide concentrations to grow in 2023? Yes: real money 90%, play money 85% No: real money 10%, play money 15% Volume: real money 352.0372325, play money 12500 Bettors: real money 9, play money 24 Categories: Science, Environmental Indicators Related markets Will 2026 be the warmest year on record? (ID: 231553) Volume: real 509.25144559, play 70359.67119338 Bettors: real 11, play 27 Leading (real money): Will 2026 be the warmest year on record? 89% Leading (play money): Will 2026 be the warmest year on record? 89% Average global surface air temperature anomaly in 2026 relative to the pre-industrial baseline? (ID: 239446) Volume: real 614.45565682, play 3260.7021384 Bettors: real 14, play 8 Leading (real money): Between 1.43 °C and 1.47 °C (inclusive) 38% Leading (play money): Between 1.43 °C and 1.47 °C (inclusive) 48% Average annual rise in sea level in the next report prepared by the IPCC (ID: 138696) Volume: real 316.75459546, play 17381.5251826 Bettors: real 23, play 60 Leading (real money): Between 3.21 mm to 3.7 mm 46% Leading (play money): Between 3.21 mm to 3.7 mm 62%

Atmospheric nitrous oxide concentrations to grow in 2023?

Market Rules

The World Meteorological Organization annually publishes a report tracking the release of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere. According to the report published in November 2023, in the year 2022 there was an increase in the levels of nitrous oxide, a gas that contributes to the intensification of the studied effect. In 2021 there were 334.5 parts per billion of gas, while in 2022 the average was 335.8±0.1parts per billion.

If the data in the next report from the World Meteorological Organization about the release of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere (expected to be published in the second half of 2024) shows that nitrous oxide gas levels in the atmosphere in 2023 were higher than 335.8 parts per billion, this market will resolve to “Yes”.

Source: https://public.wmo.int/en/greenhouse-gas-bulletin

Comments

  • twin: The report is available now, so this market could be resolved: https://library.wmo.int/idurl/4/69057

People also viewed