North Korea to resume its nuclear tests in 2024? No: real money 92%, play money 93% Yes: real money 8%, play money 7% Volume: real money 303.74144802, play money 21610.01 Bettors: real money 12, play money 23 Categories: Politics, Asia/Pacific, North Korea Related markets Donald Trump to Meet Kim Jong-Un in 2026? (ID: 231562) Volume: real 221.15169061, play 23100.0219 Bettors: real 7, play 8 Leading (real money): Donald Trump to Meet Kim Jong-Un in 2026? 32% Leading (play money): Donald Trump to Meet Kim Jong-Un in 2026? 31% Ballistic missiles launched between India and China in 2026? (ID: 231586) Volume: real 345.42534656, play 31921.2414 Bettors: real 6, play 18 Leading (real money): Ballistic missiles launched between India and China in 2026? 12% Leading (play money): Ballistic missiles launched between India and China in 2026? 16% Will a US-Iran nuclear control deal be signed in 2026? (ID: 231622) Volume: real 471.397921, play 45159.9939 Bettors: real 10, play 16 Leading (real money): Will a US-Iran nuclear control deal be signed in 2026? 76% Leading (play money): Will a US-Iran nuclear control deal be signed in 2026? 41% Will Iran develop a nuclear bomb by the end of 2026? (ID: 231636) Volume: real 236.98915192, play 23904.9876 Bettors: real 7, play 9 Leading (real money): Will Iran develop a nuclear bomb by the end of 2026? 17% Leading (play money): Will Iran develop a nuclear bomb by the end of 2026? 13%

North Korea to resume its nuclear tests in 2024?

Market Rules

If North Korea conducts any nuclear explosion test between January 1st and December 31st, 2024, this market will resolve to "Yes". For the test to be confirmed, one of the following conditions must be met:

  • The government of North Korea itself officially announces the tests were conducted, or
  • At least 2 of the following countries accuse North Korea of having run such tests based on data coming from their seismic measurements: Japan, China, South Korea or the United States.

(Note from the editor: this market was suggested by Futuur forecaster @elxaxado. Make your own suggestions for the topics you like at https://futuur.com/i/feedback/suggestion)

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