North Korea to resume its nuclear tests in 2024? No: real money 92%, play money 93% Yes: real money 8%, play money 7% Volume: real money 303.74144802, play money 21610.01 Bettors: real money 12, play money 23 Categories: Politics, Asia/Pacific, North Korea Related markets Donald Trump to Meet Kim Jong-Un in 2026? (ID: 231562) Volume: real 85.2173581, play 6983.08315625 Bettors: real 10, play 12 Leading (real money): Donald Trump to Meet Kim Jong-Un in 2026? 23% Leading (play money): Donald Trump to Meet Kim Jong-Un in 2026? 25% Ballistic missiles launched between India and China in 2026? (ID: 231586) Volume: real 160.60586931, play 28043.8561648 Bettors: real 7, play 22 Leading (real money): Ballistic missiles launched between India and China in 2026? 8% Leading (play money): Ballistic missiles launched between India and China in 2026? 3% Will a US-Iran nuclear control deal be signed in 2026? (ID: 231622) Volume: real 593.7374284, play 89157.46318497 Bettors: real 14, play 24 Leading (real money): Will a US-Iran nuclear control deal be signed in 2026? 17% Leading (play money): Will a US-Iran nuclear control deal be signed in 2026? 38% Will Iran develop a nuclear bomb by the end of 2026? (ID: 231636) Volume: real 110.41643637, play 9156.1984911 Bettors: real 8, play 13 Leading (real money): Will Iran develop a nuclear bomb by the end of 2026? 9% Leading (play money): Will Iran develop a nuclear bomb by the end of 2026? 7%

North Korea to resume its nuclear tests in 2024?

Market Rules

If North Korea conducts any nuclear explosion test between January 1st and December 31st, 2024, this market will resolve to "Yes". For the test to be confirmed, one of the following conditions must be met:

  • The government of North Korea itself officially announces the tests were conducted, or
  • At least 2 of the following countries accuse North Korea of having run such tests based on data coming from their seismic measurements: Japan, China, South Korea or the United States.

(Note from the editor: this market was suggested by Futuur forecaster @elxaxado. Make your own suggestions for the topics you like at https://futuur.com/i/feedback/suggestion)

Tags

People also viewed