Tesla to license FSD to any US automaker in 2026?
Market Rules
This event predicts whether Tesla, Inc. will license its Full Self-Driving (FSD) technology to any automaker headquartered in the United States at any time between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 (inclusive). For this market, licensing means a formal agreement allowing another automaker to use Tesla’s FSD technology. The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official announcements by Tesla or filings/disclosures confirming such a licensing agreement.
If Tesla formally announces or confirms a licensing agreement for FSD with any U.S. automaker during this period, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Exploratory talks or statements of intent without a signed licensing agreement will not count. If official announcements are unclear, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will rely on consistent reporting from major automotive or technology news organizations. Resolution will reflect the substantive execution of a licensing agreement, not discussions alone. If a definitive determination cannot be made, Futuur may cancel this market with a public explanation.