Will Bitcoin mining be regulated in the US by the end of 2026?

This event predicts whether Bitcoin mining activities will become subject to formal federal regulation in the United States at any time between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 (inclusive). For this market, regulation means the enactment of federal laws or binding regulations that directly govern Bitcoin mining operations. The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be enacted U.S. legislation or official regulatory rules published by relevant federal agencies.

If the U.S. federal government enacts laws or binding regulations that explicitly regulate Bitcoin mining during this period, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Non-binding guidance, state-level actions alone, or enforcement without new regulatory authority will not count. If official legal texts are ambiguous, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will rely on consistent reporting from major financial or legal news organizations. Resolution will reflect the substantive creation of binding regulation, not policy debate. If a definitive determination cannot be made, Futuur may cancel this market with a public explanation.