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Will Christine Lagarde still be the president of the European Central Bank through the end of 2026? Yes: real money 68%, play money 85% No: real money 32%, play money 15% Volume: real money 65.58105238, play money 343.1959 Bettors: real money 10, play money 5 Categories: Finance, Economic Indicators, European Union Related markets US basic interest rate at the end of 2026 (ID: 231723) Volume: real 923.16006409, play 112232.72867893 Bettors: real 40, play 33 Leading (real money): 3.5% or more 89% Leading (play money): 3.5% or more 89% Winner of France’s presidential election (ID: 237493) Volume: real 942.77259695, play 55650.19780173 Bettors: real 41, play 27 Leading (real money): Marine Le Pen 47% Leading (play money): Marine Le Pen 43% Number of FOMC meetings with FED interest rate cuts in the US in 2026 (ID: 231724) Volume: real 1922.14262321, play 49243.53820347 Bettors: real 62, play 34 Leading (real money): 0 91% Leading (play money): 0 89%

Will Christine Lagarde still be the president of the European Central Bank through the end of 2026?

Market Rules

This event predicts whether Christine Lagarde will remain in office as President of the European Central Bank (ECB) through December 31, 2026. The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official European Central Bank press releases or European Council announcements confirming the ECB presidency.

If Christine Lagarde officially remains ECB President through the end of December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If she resigns, is replaced, or otherwise ceases to hold the presidency before that date, the market will resolve to "No" at the moment of official confirmation, regardless of caretaker arrangements. If official ECB records are unclear, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will rely on consistent reporting from major European news organizations. Resolution will reflect substantive holding of the presidency, not interim or caretaker statuses. If a definitive determination cannot be made, Futuur may cancel this market with a public explanation.

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