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US’ GDP growth rate for Q2- 2026 2.6% or more: real money 39%, play money 39% Between 2.1% and 2.5%: real money 28%, play money 28% Between 1.5% and 2.0%: real money 22%, play money 22% 1.4% or less: real money 11%, play money 11% Volume: real money 99.99, play money 10000 Bettors: real money 0, play money 0 Categories: Finance, Economic Indicators, United States, GDP Related markets Who will leave the Trump administration in 2026? (ID: 231765) Volume: real 649.46353836, play 68989.89904398 Bettors: real 61, play 77 Leading (real money): Kash Patel 69% Leading (play money): Kash Patel 72% Control of the US House of Representatives after the 2026 Elections (ID: 211468) Volume: real 1249.4330212, play 39981.6221082 Bettors: real 16, play 51 Leading (real money): Control of the US House of Representatives after the 2026 Elections 19% Leading (play money): Control of the US House of Representatives after the 2026 Elections 46% Trump to serve his full term? (ID: 198250) Volume: real 2608.60104832, play 114652.95944582 Bettors: real 39, play 210 Leading (real money): Trump to serve his full term? 94% Leading (play money): Trump to serve his full term? 74% Winner of the next US Presidential Election (ID: 211457) Volume: real 2044.90855693, play 35762.14306169 Bettors: real 22, play 81 Leading (real money): Winner of the next US Presidential Election 46% Leading (play money): Winner of the next US Presidential Election 42% Will Trump be impeached in his second term? (ID: 212720) Volume: real 3007.08647864, play 136868.79585516 Bettors: real 30, play 208 Leading (real money): Will Trump be impeached in his second term? 8% Leading (play money): Will Trump be impeached in his second term? 57%

US’ GDP growth rate for Q2- 2026

Market Rules

This set of markets will resolve based on the advance estimate of the United States’ real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth rate for the second quarter (Q2) of 2026, as published by the ,a href=”https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product”>U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA). The Primary Designated Source (PDS) is the BEA’s official Gross Domestic Product release. The relevant figure is the quarter-over-quarter annualized real GDP growth rate for Q2 2026, as first officially reported by the BEA.

If the BEA’s advance estimate is delayed, unavailable, or unclear, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will be the confirmation from BEA’s official data tables once published, or a clear consensus of reporting by major financial news organizations (such as Reuters or Bloomberg) citing BEA data. The markets will resolve according to the substantive GDP growth outcome and market intent, not minor technical or formatting differences. Subsequent revisions (second or third estimates) will not affect the market’s resolution; if no fair determination is possible, Futuur may cancel the markets with a public explanation.

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