GPT-6 released by ...? July 31, 2026: real money 1%, play money 1% September 30, 2026: real money 63%, play money 58% December 31, 2026: real money 82%, play money 93% Volume: real money 1094.68754446, play money 132547.8850462 Bettors: real money 18, play money 18 Categories: Finance, Big Companies, OpenAI Related markets Companies to go public in 2026 (ID: 233778) Volume: real 1313.12087868, play 100034.81574615 Bettors: real 65, play 57 Leading (real money): SpaceX 91% Leading (play money): SpaceX 94%

GPT-6 released by ...?

Market Rules

This set of markets predicts when OpenAI's GPT-6 model will be made available to the general public. Each of the markets below covers one possible deadline; any number of these markets may resolve to "Yes”. A market resolves to "Yes" if GPT-6 is launched and publicly accessible — including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups — on or before the market's deadline. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.

GPT-6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-6 (for example, ChatGPT-6o would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to GPT-5, similar to the progression from GPT-3 to GPT-4. Products labeled as GPT-5.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution. In ambiguous edge cases (gradual rollout, regional restrictions, or completely different names that keep no connection to the standard OpenAI naming practices but are clearly presented as the successor to GPT-5), resolution follows the spirit of the question: has GPT-6 been made available to a meaningfully broad general audience by the deadline?

The Primary Designated Source is official information from OpenAI (official blog, @OpenAI on X, product announcements), supplemented by a consensus of credible reporting.

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