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Anthropic IPO: market cap at the close of its first trading day Less than $1.25T: real money 8%, play money 8% Between $1.25T and $1.5T: real money 16%, play money 16% Between $1.5T and $1.75T: real money 27%, play money 27% Between $1.75T and $2.0T: real money 23%, play money 23% Between $2.0T and $2.25T: real money 16%, play money 16% Between $2.25T and $2.5T: real money 5%, play money 5% Between $2.5T and $2.75T: real money 2%, play money 2% Between $2.75T and $3.0T: real money 1%, play money 1% $3.0T or more: real money 1%, play money 1% No IPO by December 31, 2027: real money 1%, play money 1% Volume: real money 0, play money 0 Bettors: real money 0, play money 0 Categories: Finance, Artificial Intelligence Related markets Companies to go public in 2026 (ID: 233778) Volume: real 8872.8574481, play 128310.33653896 Bettors: real 74, play 82 Leading (real money): SpaceX 91% Leading (play money): SpaceX 94% World’s largest company at the end of 2026 (ID: 231740) Volume: real 9279.3459893, play 120127.35593097 Bettors: real 66, play 71 Leading (real money): Apple 72% Leading (play money): Nvidia 72%

Anthropic IPO: market cap at the close of its first trading day

Market Rules

This event covers only Anthropic's first day of trading after its initial public offering (IPO), if it occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. The market whose range contains Anthropic's market capitalization at the official closing price of that day — shares outstanding multiplied by the closing price, per the primary exchange's official listing page — resolves "Yes"; if no IPO occurs by then, "No IPO by December 31, 2027" resolves "Yes". Exactly one outcome wins.

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