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Will the number of fires in California be higher in 2021 than in 2020? No: real money 98%, play money 99% Yes: real money 2%, play money 1% Volume: real money 634.56590969, play money 40875.83 Bettors: real money 8, play money 10 Categories: Science, Environmental Indicators Related markets Will 2026 be the warmest year on record? (ID: 231553) Volume: real 215.20619365, play 48985.7979 Bettors: real 2, play 12 Leading (real money): Will 2026 be the warmest year on record? 24% Leading (play money): Will 2026 be the warmest year on record? 39% Average annual rise in sea level in the next report prepared by the IPCC (ID: 138696) Volume: real 211.65193697, play 12350.3851826 Bettors: real 3, play 53 Leading (real money): Between 3.21 mm to 3.7 mm 43% Leading (play money): Greater than 4.21 mm 74% Total area of dead Coral Reefs to increase in comparison to 2021? (ID: 142271) Volume: real 573.31231084, play 82713.55614915 Bettors: real 25, play 189 Leading (real money): Total area of dead Coral Reefs to increase in comparison to 2021? 84% Leading (play money): Total area of dead Coral Reefs to increase in comparison to 2021? 88% Global presence of algae in coral reefs to increase in comparison to 2021? (ID: 142272) Volume: real 343.42042505, play 38229.5986922 Bettors: real 10, play 81 Leading (real money): Global presence of algae in coral reefs to increase in comparison to 2021? 71% Leading (play money): Global presence of algae in coral reefs to increase in comparison to 2021? 38%

Will the number of fires in California be higher in 2021 than in 2020?

Market Rules

In 2020, there was a huge increase in the number of fires in California, a place where fire seasons are common during the driest times of the year. In 2020 there were 8112 fires, in comparison to there were 5687 cases in 2019.

If the number of fires in California in 2021 is higher than in 2020, this market will be resolved as “Yes”.

This market will be resolved based on data from the website https://www.fire.ca.gov/stats-events/, as soon as the figures for the full year of 2021 are made available. These figures are expected to be released in January 2022 but might suffer delays.

Comments

  • FabHK: Hello from another ACT reader. Looks like we're too late.

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