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Will the number of fires in California be higher in 2021 than in 2020? No: real money 98%, play money 99% Yes: real money 2%, play money 1% Volume: real money 634.56590969, play money 40875.83 Bettors: real money 8, play money 10 Categories: Science, Environmental Indicators Related markets Will 2026 be the warmest year on record? (ID: 231553) Volume: real 221.8600438, play 57490.71406341 Bettors: real 8, play 15 Leading (real money): Will 2026 be the warmest year on record? 23% Leading (play money): Will 2026 be the warmest year on record? 56% Global presence of algae in coral reefs to increase in comparison to 2021? (ID: 142272) Volume: real 343.49419209, play 38229.6986922 Bettors: real 12, play 83 Leading (real money): Global presence of algae in coral reefs to increase in comparison to 2021? 72% Leading (play money): Global presence of algae in coral reefs to increase in comparison to 2021? 36% Average annual rise in sea level in the next report prepared by the IPCC (ID: 138696) Volume: real 212.83978154, play 12350.5851826 Bettors: real 23, play 58 Leading (real money): Between 3.21 mm to 3.7 mm 43% Leading (play money): Greater than 4.21 mm 76% Total area of dead Coral Reefs to increase in comparison to 2021? (ID: 142271) Volume: real 578.12137578, play 82713.65614915 Bettors: real 28, play 191 Leading (real money): Total area of dead Coral Reefs to increase in comparison to 2021? 84% Leading (play money): Total area of dead Coral Reefs to increase in comparison to 2021? 90%

Will the number of fires in California be higher in 2021 than in 2020?

Market Rules

In 2020, there was a huge increase in the number of fires in California, a place where fire seasons are common during the driest times of the year. In 2020 there were 8112 fires, in comparison to there were 5687 cases in 2019.

If the number of fires in California in 2021 is higher than in 2020, this market will be resolved as “Yes”.

This market will be resolved based on data from the website https://www.fire.ca.gov/stats-events/, as soon as the figures for the full year of 2021 are made available. These figures are expected to be released in January 2022 but might suffer delays.

Comments

  • FabHK: Hello from another ACT reader. Looks like we're too late.

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