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Will the global temperature of September 2021 be higher than the temperature observed in September 2020? No: real money 51%, play money 53% Yes: real money 49%, play money 47% Volume: real money 49.0625618, play money 1100 Bettors: real money 1, play money 1 Categories: Science, Environmental Indicators Related markets Will 2026 be the warmest year on record? (ID: 231553) Volume: real 490.55620543, play 69130.45887073 Bettors: real 11, play 26 Leading (real money): Will 2026 be the warmest year on record? 87% Leading (play money): Will 2026 be the warmest year on record? 80% Average global surface air temperature anomaly in 2026 relative to the pre-industrial baseline? (ID: 239446) Volume: real 614.45565682, play 3260.7021384 Bettors: real 14, play 8 Leading (real money): Between 1.43 °C and 1.47 °C (inclusive) 38% Leading (play money): Between 1.43 °C and 1.47 °C (inclusive) 48% Average annual rise in sea level in the next report prepared by the IPCC (ID: 138696) Volume: real 316.75459546, play 17381.5251826 Bettors: real 23, play 60 Leading (real money): Between 3.21 mm to 3.7 mm 46% Leading (play money): Between 3.21 mm to 3.7 mm 62%

Will the global temperature of September 2021 be higher than the temperature observed in September 2020?

Market Rules

According to the US Environmental Information Centers of Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's (NOAA), July 2021 was the warmest month ever in the world since it began recording global temperature 142 years ago. This "milestone" is yet another alarm of the climate crisis arising from human activity, and raises questions about the measurements for the coming months.

If the rise in the world's global temperature - i.e. the combination of both land surface and oceans temperatures - for the month of September 2021 is greater than +0.94°C (the recorded rise for September 2020), this market will resolve to “Yes”.

This market will be resolved based on the data made available at https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/cag/global/time-series/globe/land_ocean/1/9/2016-2021

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