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More than 10% of the presidential popular vote to go to a third party in any US state? No: real money 99%, play money 90% Yes: real money 1%, play money 10% Volume: real money 1296.96322382, play money 35704.69 Bettors: real money 36, play money 102 Categories: Politics, USA, 2024 Elections, Presidency, Results, Nationwide, Popular Vote Related markets Winner of the next US Presidential Election (ID: 211457) Volume: real 2045.00877596, play 37828.53405976 Bettors: real 23, play 85 Leading (real money): Winner of the next US Presidential Election 46% Leading (play money): Winner of the next US Presidential Election 39% Brazil’s Next President Elect (ID: 233774) Volume: real 7201.42420994, play 747099.58930344 Bettors: real 109, play 188 Leading (real money): Lula 55% Leading (play money): Lula 64% Will JD Vance be the Republican presidential nominee in 2028? (ID: 222362) Volume: real 2148.54599232, play 83966.26014653 Bettors: real 20, play 116 Leading (real money): Will JD Vance be the Republican presidential nominee in 2028? 46% Leading (play money): Will JD Vance be the Republican presidential nominee in 2028? 74% Trump to serve his full term? (ID: 198250) Volume: real 2609.88778546, play 117480.45119066 Bettors: real 39, play 212 Leading (real money): Trump to serve his full term? 93% Leading (play money): Trump to serve his full term? 72%

More than 10% of the presidential popular vote to go to a third party in any US state?

Market Rules

If, in any individual US state, any party — other than the Republican Party or the Democratic Party — is announced to have received at least 10% of the total valid votes cast by individual American voters in the 2024 Presidential Election, this market will resolve to "Yes".

Only valid votes will be considered in the calculation of such a 10% threshold. The resolution to this market is independent of whether or not the candidate from the referred party is elected president or not.

For the sake of this market, a candidate is considered to be from a specific party when: A) he/she is elected with a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with such party, or B) he/she has publicly stated an intention to caucus with such party.

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Comments

  • political_bets: That's an easy "no" lmao
  • argel501: Hello falls allarm

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