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More than 10% of the presidential popular vote to go to a third party in any US state? No: real money 99%, play money 90% Yes: real money 1%, play money 10% Volume: real money 1296.96322382, play money 35704.69 Bettors: real money 36, play money 102 Categories: Politics, USA, 2024 Elections, Presidency, Results, Nationwide, Popular Vote Related markets Will JD Vance be the Republican presidential nominee in 2028? (ID: 222362) Volume: real 1806.38514736, play 78183.39731344 Bettors: real 18, play 111 Leading (real money): Will JD Vance be the Republican presidential nominee in 2028? 88% Leading (play money): Will JD Vance be the Republican presidential nominee in 2028? 74% Winner of the next US Presidential Election (ID: 211457) Volume: real 2044.90855693, play 36374.53841024 Bettors: real 22, play 82 Leading (real money): Winner of the next US Presidential Election 46% Leading (play money): Winner of the next US Presidential Election 37% Will Tarcísio de Freitas run for President of Brazil in 2026? (ID: 215103) Volume: real 1807.60614471, play 103548.00377593 Bettors: real 26, play 89 Leading (real money): Will Tarcísio de Freitas run for President of Brazil in 2026? 5% Leading (play money): Will Tarcísio de Freitas run for President of Brazil in 2026? 3% Trump to serve his full term? (ID: 198250) Volume: real 2608.60104832, play 114652.95944582 Bettors: real 39, play 210 Leading (real money): Trump to serve his full term? 94% Leading (play money): Trump to serve his full term? 74% Brazil’s Next President Elect (ID: 233774) Volume: real 3743.81102629, play 501513.89683397 Bettors: real 98, play 144 Leading (real money): Lula 56% Leading (play money): Lula 44%

More than 10% of the presidential popular vote to go to a third party in any US state?

Market Rules

If, in any individual US state, any party — other than the Republican Party or the Democratic Party — is announced to have received at least 10% of the total valid votes cast by individual American voters in the 2024 Presidential Election, this market will resolve to "Yes".

Only valid votes will be considered in the calculation of such a 10% threshold. The resolution to this market is independent of whether or not the candidate from the referred party is elected president or not.

For the sake of this market, a candidate is considered to be from a specific party when: A) he/she is elected with a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with such party, or B) he/she has publicly stated an intention to caucus with such party.

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Comments

  • political_bets: That's an easy "no" lmao
  • argel501: Hello falls allarm

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