Will the Brazilian Amazon deforested area in 2023 be larger or smaller than in 2022? Smaller: real money 88%, play money 67% Larger: real money 12%, play money 33% Volume: real money 331.45666678, play money 51225.2 Bettors: real money 10, play money 86 Categories: Science, Environmental Indicators Related markets Brazil to reduce illegal deforestation by at least 50% by 2026? (ID: 134871) Volume: real 965.16141894, play 506570.63856073 Bettors: real 43, play 1221 Leading (real money): Brazil to reduce illegal deforestation by at least 50% by 2026? 62% Leading (play money): Brazil to reduce illegal deforestation by at least 50% by 2026? 49% Global presence of algae in coral reefs to increase in comparison to 2021? (ID: 142272) Volume: real 294.15003741, play 35134.6206922 Bettors: real 14, play 84 Leading (real money): Global presence of algae in coral reefs to increase in comparison to 2021? 76% Leading (play money): Global presence of algae in coral reefs to increase in comparison to 2021? 34% Average annual rise in sea level in the next report prepared by the IPCC (ID: 138696) Volume: real 316.75459546, play 17381.5251826 Bettors: real 23, play 60 Leading (real money): Between 3.21 mm to 3.7 mm 46% Leading (play money): Between 3.21 mm to 3.7 mm 62% Total area of dead Coral Reefs to increase in comparison to 2021? (ID: 142271) Volume: real 472.56043864, play 113447.77353371 Bettors: real 29, play 191 Leading (real money): Total area of dead Coral Reefs to increase in comparison to 2021? 84% Leading (play money): Total area of dead Coral Reefs to increase in comparison to 2021? 90%

Will the Brazilian Amazon deforested area in 2023 be larger or smaller than in 2022?

Market Rules

The Brazilian National Institute for Space Research (Inpe) has a robust Satellite Legal Amazon Deforestation Monitoring Project (PRODES, in the Portuguese abbreviation), considered the most precise system to measure annual deforestation rates.

In November 2022, estimates from PRODES pointed to an 11% decrease in deforestation rates in the Brazilian Amazon in comparison with the figures from 2021.

If the first PRODES estimate for 2023 (expected to be released in November 2023) indicates that the total deforested area in the Amazon grew in comparison to the figures from 2022, this market will resolve to "Larger". If the PRODES estimate indicates that the total deforested area in the Amazon decreased in comparison to the figures from 2022, this market will resolve to "Smaller".

Source: http://terrabrasilis.dpi.inpe.br/app/dashboard/deforestation/biomes/legal_amazon/rates 

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