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Israel to declare war against Iran in 2024? No: real money 94%, play money 73% Yes: real money 6%, play money 27% Volume: real money 854.37480862, play money 87457.34 Bettors: real money 25, play money 101 Categories: Politics, Middle East, Israel Related markets Trump to lift Hormuz blockade by ...? (ID: 238413) Volume: real 2078.38775875, play 45093.03842569 Bettors: real 22, play 21 Leading (real money): June 30 86% Leading (play money): June 30 67% Will a US-Iran nuclear control deal be signed in 2026? (ID: 231622) Volume: real 555.33083821, play 77169.73449674 Bettors: real 12, play 21 Leading (real money): Will a US-Iran nuclear control deal be signed in 2026? 67% Leading (play money): Will a US-Iran nuclear control deal be signed in 2026? 69% Will Iran no longer be an Islamic Republic by the end of 2026? (ID: 231628) Volume: real 374.80702064, play 34964.48463707 Bettors: real 11, play 27 Leading (real money): Will Iran no longer be an Islamic Republic by the end of 2026? 10% Leading (play money): Will Iran no longer be an Islamic Republic by the end of 2026? 14%

Israel to declare war against Iran in 2024?

Market Rules

This prediction market aims to determine whether the government of Israel will formally declare war against Iran in 2024. The outcome will be determined based on official announcements from the Israeli government, and credible media reports.

The market will resolve to 'Yes' if Israel makes a formal declaration of war against Iran at any point between January 1st and December 31, 2024. A 'formal declaration of war' refers to an official statement by the Israeli government or its representative, publicly announcing that a state of war exists between Israel and Iran, similar to the declarations made by Israel on October 7th, 2023, when it declared war on Hamas.

Military actions alone without an explicit declaration of war will not cause this market to resolve as 'Yes'.

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