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Control of the US Senate after the 2024 election Republican: real money 82%, play money 75% Democratic: real money 18%, play money 25% Volume: real money 1177.80749632, play money 65809.5 Bettors: real money 34, play money 220 Categories: Politics, USA, 2024 Elections, Senate Related markets Trump to serve his full term? (ID: 198250) Volume: real 2770.42679439, play 122128.47381409 Bettors: real 39, play 217 Leading (real money): Trump to serve his full term? 93% Leading (play money): Trump to serve his full term? 81% Will Trump be impeached in his second term? (ID: 212720) Volume: real 3261.29128162, play 139020.85773009 Bettors: real 32, play 212 Leading (real money): Will Trump be impeached in his second term? 40% Leading (play money): Will Trump be impeached in his second term? 46% Impeachment of any of Brazil's Supreme Court Justices by the end of 2026? (ID: 161037) Volume: real 2033.0296517, play 337841.92892331 Bettors: real 45, play 554 Leading (real money): Impeachment of any of Brazil's Supreme Court Justices by the end of 2026? 3% Leading (play money): Impeachment of any of Brazil's Supreme Court Justices by the end of 2026? 75% Will JD Vance be the Republican presidential nominee in 2028? (ID: 222362) Volume: real 1739.70477279, play 37150.61303342 Bettors: real 24, play 120 Leading (real money): Will JD Vance be the Republican presidential nominee in 2028? 41% Leading (play money): Will JD Vance be the Republican presidential nominee in 2028? 75%

Control of the US Senate after the 2024 election

Market Rules

If on January 3rd, 2025, at least 51 of the sitting senators in the Senate of the United States are from the same party, such party shall be considered the winning outcome of this market. If no party reaches 51 senators, but the elected Vice-President's party reaches exactly 50 senators, that party shall still be considered the winning outcome.

For the sake of this market, a senator is considered to be from a specific party when: A) they are elected with a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with such party, or B) they have publicly stated an intention to caucus with such party.

Although most of the elected senators will only take office on January 3rd, 2025, Futuur may decide to resolve this market at any point between November 5th, 2024, and January 3rd, 2025, when it considers the official election results, concession speeches, and eventual legal actions taken by parties have finally made clear what party (if any) will control the Senate when the elected senators take office.

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