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Control of the US Senate after the 2024 election Republican: real money 82%, play money 75% Democratic: real money 18%, play money 25% Volume: real money 1177.80749632, play money 65809.5 Bettors: real money 34, play money 220 Categories: Politics, USA, 2024 Elections, Senate Related markets Trump to serve his full term? (ID: 198250) Volume: real 2432.63971531, play 114003.76993742 Bettors: real 38, play 207 Leading (real money): Trump to serve his full term? 48% Leading (play money): Trump to serve his full term? 72% Will Trump be impeached in his second term? (ID: 212720) Volume: real 2972.99279512, play 136868.79585516 Bettors: real 30, play 208 Leading (real money): Will Trump be impeached in his second term? 77% Leading (play money): Will Trump be impeached in his second term? 57% Brazil’s Next President Elect (ID: 233774) Volume: real 2732.60041203, play 483208.99521693 Bettors: real 89, play 123 Leading (real money): Lula 51% Leading (play money): Lula 45% Impeachment of any of Brazil's Supreme Court Justices by the end of 2026? (ID: 161037) Volume: real 1961.5034027, play 254236.01731761 Bettors: real 42, play 546 Leading (real money): Impeachment of any of Brazil's Supreme Court Justices by the end of 2026? 20% Leading (play money): Impeachment of any of Brazil's Supreme Court Justices by the end of 2026? 23%

Control of the US Senate after the 2024 election

Market Rules

If on January 3rd, 2025, at least 51 of the sitting senators in the Senate of the United States are from the same party, such party shall be considered the winning outcome of this market. If no party reaches 51 senators, but the elected Vice-President's party reaches exactly 50 senators, that party shall still be considered the winning outcome.

For the sake of this market, a senator is considered to be from a specific party when: A) they are elected with a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with such party, or B) they have publicly stated an intention to caucus with such party.

Although most of the elected senators will only take office on January 3rd, 2025, Futuur may decide to resolve this market at any point between November 5th, 2024, and January 3rd, 2025, when it considers the official election results, concession speeches, and eventual legal actions taken by parties have finally made clear what party (if any) will control the Senate when the elected senators take office.

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