Top AI model (LLM) for coding in Papers With Code's "Code Generation on HumanEval" ranking at the end of 2024 GPT (OpenAI): real money 93%, play money 73% Claude (Anthropic): real money 3%, play money 11% Gemini (Google): real money 2%, play money 10% Other: real money 1%, play money 6% Volume: real money 222.6143407, play money 16540.03 Bettors: real money 11, play money 22 Categories: Finance, Artificial Intelligence Related markets Companies to go public in 2026 (ID: 233778) Volume: real 8370.48371633, play 121485.49947859 Bettors: real 74, play 76 Leading (real money): SpaceX 91% Leading (play money): SpaceX 94% World’s largest company at the end of 2026 (ID: 231740) Volume: real 7800.69839028, play 113373.38565148 Bettors: real 64, play 65 Leading (real money): Nvidia 61% Leading (play money): Nvidia 66%

Top AI model (LLM) for coding in Papers With Code's "Code Generation on HumanEval" ranking at the end of 2024

Market Rules

For the sake of this market, the "top AI model" is defined as the model holding the number one position on the “Models with highest Pass@1’” metric of Code Generation on HumanEval leaderboard made by Papers With Code, as of 11:59 p.m. (UTC-3) on December 31, 2024.

Any updates or changes to the leaderboard after this time will not affect the market resolution. If the Code Generation on the HumanEval leaderboard is unavailable or ceases to be updated, an alternative credible source, such as a widely recognized AI research publication or authority, will be used to determine the top AI model.

"Other" refers to any AI model not covered by a brand or responsible organization listed in the other outcomes.

In case the top AI model is a derivation of one of the models described in an outcome (a modification made by developers, for instance), the original model outcome will be the winning resolution of this market.

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