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Evo Morales arrested by the end of 2026? Yes: real money 29%, play money 27% No: real money 71%, play money 73% Volume: real money 200.16036992, play money 20700.002 Bettors: real money 4, play money 2 Categories: Politics, Latin America, Bolivia Related markets Bernardo Arévalo to finish his presidential term in Guatemala? (ID: 179586) Volume: real 226.07365839, play 11444.01428295 Bettors: real 9, play 13 Leading (real money): Bernardo Arévalo to finish his presidential term in Guatemala? 80% Leading (play money): Bernardo Arévalo to finish his presidential term in Guatemala? 77% Rodrigo Paz to finish his presidential term in Bolivia? (ID: 226204) Volume: real 100.18012297, play 10000 Bettors: real 4, play 0 Leading (real money): Rodrigo Paz to finish his presidential term in Bolivia? 91% Leading (play money): Rodrigo Paz to finish his presidential term in Bolivia? 90%

Evo Morales arrested by the end of 2026?

Market Rules

This event predicts whether Evo Morales will be formally arrested at any time between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026. For this market, arrest means formal custodial detention by law enforcement authorities. The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official statements from judicial or law‑enforcement authorities.

If Evo Morales is formally placed under custodial detention during this period, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Investigations, indictments, questioning, or non‑custodial measures will not count. If official records are ambiguous, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will rely on consistent reporting from major international news organizations. Resolution will reflect formal arrest, not legal or political actions short of detention. If a definitive determination cannot be made, Futuur may cancel this market with a public explanation.

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