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Which countries will join NATO as members in 2026? Ukraine: real money 7%, play money 8% Bosnia and Herzegovina: real money 7%, play money 8% Georgia: real money 5%, play money 5% Volume: real money 50.39345036, play money 2259.9943 Bettors: real money 12, play money 10 Categories: Politics, World Politics, Multilateral Organizations Related markets Ukraine to maintain control over ______ through the end of 2026? (ID: 231745) Volume: real 158.15451279, play 8744.5238 Bettors: real 16, play 14 Leading (real money): Zakarpattia 95% Leading (play money): Zakarpattia 91% Which countries will deploy troops to Ukraine in 2026? (ID: 231763) Volume: real 49.78519217, play 620.24774922 Bettors: real 20, play 13 Leading (real money): No NATO member 52% Leading (play money): No NATO member 83% Will the US announce the withdrawal of at least half of its troops from Europe by the end of 2026? (ID: 216199) Volume: real 75.057203, play 15431.8446109 Bettors: real 9, play 15 Leading (real money): Will the US announce the withdrawal of at least half of its troops from Europe by the end of 2026? 14% Leading (play money): Will the US announce the withdrawal of at least half of its troops from Europe by the end of 2026? 17% Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy remain President of Ukraine through the end of 2026? (ID: 231616) Volume: real 443.78084081, play 54576.40150197 Bettors: real 15, play 42 Leading (real money): Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy remain President of Ukraine through the end of 2026? 89% Leading (play money): Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy remain President of Ukraine through the end of 2026? 83% Brazil to join the OECD by the end of 2026? (ID: 166867) Volume: real 476.52461407, play 15496.97653673 Bettors: real 9, play 34 Leading (real money): Brazil to join the OECD by the end of 2026? 7% Leading (play money): Brazil to join the OECD by the end of 2026? 5%

Which countries will join NATO as members in 2026?

Market Rules

This event predicts which of the listed countries will formally accede as full members of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) at any point between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026, at 23:59 UTC. A country is considered to have joined NATO only if it completes the formal accession process and is officially recognized as a member state. The Primary Designated Source (PDS) is an official announcement by NATO confirming that the country has deposited its instrument of accession and has been accepted as a member.

If NATO’s official confirmation is delayed, incomplete, or unclear, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will consist of corroboration from major, reputable international news organizations reporting the formal completion of NATO membership. Resolution will prioritize the substantive outcome over procedural technicalities, and Futuur may cancel the markets with a public explanation if a fair determination becomes impossible.

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