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Winner of Texas's Republican Senate primary Ken Paxton: real money 59%, play money 59% John Cornyn: real money 41%, play money 41% Volume: real money 100.38088121, play money 10000 Bettors: real money 8, play money 0 Categories: Politics, USA, 2026 Elections Related markets Impeachment of any of Brazil's Supreme Court Justices by the end of 2026? (ID: 161037) Volume: real 2000.87844531, play 254236.01731761 Bettors: real 42, play 546 Leading (real money): Impeachment of any of Brazil's Supreme Court Justices by the end of 2026? 8% Leading (play money): Impeachment of any of Brazil's Supreme Court Justices by the end of 2026? 22% Trump to serve his full term? (ID: 198250) Volume: real 2606.57432188, play 114003.76993742 Bettors: real 38, play 207 Leading (real money): Trump to serve his full term? 94% Leading (play money): Trump to serve his full term? 73% Brazil’s Next President Elect (ID: 233774) Volume: real 2954.32550732, play 483554.42548429 Bettors: real 91, play 124 Leading (real money): Lula 51% Leading (play money): Lula 45% Will Trump be impeached in his second term? (ID: 212720) Volume: real 3007.08647864, play 136868.79585516 Bettors: real 30, play 208 Leading (real money): Will Trump be impeached in his second term? 8% Leading (play money): Will Trump be impeached in his second term? 57%

Winner of Texas's Republican Senate primary

Market Rules

This event predicts who will win the Republican runoff primary for the United States Senate election in Texas, scheduled for May 26 , 2026. The market corresponding to the candidate who is officially declared the winner of the Texas Republican Senate primary will resolve to "Yes".

The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be the official certified election results published by the State of Texas. If official certification is delayed or unclear, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will be a clear and overwhelming consensus of major reputable news organizations reporting the same winner based on official data. Resolution will be based on the officially recognized winner, not projections, concession speeches, or preliminary returns.

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