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Winner of Michigan's Democratic Senate primary Mallory McMorrow: real money 53%, play money 54% Abdul El-Sayed: real money 43%, play money 40% Haley Stevens: real money 12%, play money 11% Volume: real money 136.68115744, play money 13500.0086 Bettors: real money 15, play money 3 Categories: Politics, USA, 2026 Elections Related markets Trump to serve his full term? (ID: 198250) Volume: real 2606.57432188, play 114003.76993742 Bettors: real 38, play 207 Leading (real money): Trump to serve his full term? 94% Leading (play money): Trump to serve his full term? 73% Will Trump be impeached in his second term? (ID: 212720) Volume: real 3007.08647864, play 136868.79585516 Bettors: real 30, play 208 Leading (real money): Will Trump be impeached in his second term? 8% Leading (play money): Will Trump be impeached in his second term? 57% Brazil’s Next President Elect (ID: 233774) Volume: real 2954.32550732, play 483554.42548429 Bettors: real 91, play 124 Leading (real money): Lula 51% Leading (play money): Lula 45% Impeachment of any of Brazil's Supreme Court Justices by the end of 2026? (ID: 161037) Volume: real 2000.87844531, play 254236.01731761 Bettors: real 42, play 546 Leading (real money): Impeachment of any of Brazil's Supreme Court Justices by the end of 2026? 8% Leading (play money): Impeachment of any of Brazil's Supreme Court Justices by the end of 2026? 22%

Winner of Michigan's Democratic Senate primary

Market Rules

This event predicts who will win the Democratic primary for the United States Senate election in Michigan, scheduled for August 4, 2026. The market corresponding to the candidate who is officially declared the winner of the Michigan Democratic Senate primary will resolve to "Yes". If no candidate wins a majority in the general election, this event will resolve based on the official winner according to the electoral plurality rule mandated by Michigan law.

The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be the official certified election results published by the State of Michigan. If official certification is delayed or unclear, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will be a clear and overwhelming consensus of major reputable news organizations reporting the same winner based on official data. Resolution will be based on the officially recognized winner, not projections, concession speeches, or preliminary returns.

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