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Winner of Louisiana's Senate Republican primary Julia Letlow: real money 70%, play money 70% John Fleming: real money 20%, play money 17% Bill Cassidy: real money 12%, play money 12% Volume: real money 101.9888001, play money 10000 Bettors: real money 1, play money 0 Categories: Politics, USA, 2026 Elections Related markets Trump to serve his full term? (ID: 198250) Volume: real 2422.49475017, play 113871.83467419 Bettors: real 34, play 205 Leading (real money): Trump to serve his full term? 50% Leading (play money): Trump to serve his full term? 71% Will Trump be impeached in his second term? (ID: 212720) Volume: real 2962.18003222, play 136707.61608244 Bettors: real 26, play 206 Leading (real money): Will Trump be impeached in his second term? 50% Leading (play money): Will Trump be impeached in his second term? 57% Brazil’s Next President Elect (ID: 233774) Volume: real 2666.17861997, play 452427.9782 Bettors: real 73, play 117 Leading (real money): Lula 51% Leading (play money): Lula 75% Impeachment of any of Brazil's Supreme Court Justices by the end of 2026? (ID: 161037) Volume: real 1755.13293676, play 251150.95481092 Bettors: real 39, play 542 Leading (real money): Impeachment of any of Brazil's Supreme Court Justices by the end of 2026? 51% Leading (play money): Impeachment of any of Brazil's Supreme Court Justices by the end of 2026? 15%

Winner of Louisiana's Senate Republican primary

Market Rules

This event predicts who will win the Republican primary for the United States Senate election in Louisiana, scheduled for May 16, 2026.The market corresponding to the candidate who is officially declared the winner of the Louisiana Republican Senate primary will resolve to "Yes". If no candidate receives enough votes to win outright, this event will resolve based on the official winner of the runoff election.

The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be the official certified election results published by the State of Louisiana. If official certification is delayed or unclear, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will be a clear and overwhelming consensus of major reputable news organizations reporting the same winner based on official data. Resolution will be based on the officially recognized winner, not projections, concession speeches, or preliminary returns.

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