Euro area’s inflation rate > 2.6% in April?

This event refers to April 2026’s annual inflation rate for the Euro area (i. e. In comparison to the same month of the previous year). The Primary Designated Source (PDS) is the European Central Bank (ECB), based on Harmonised Indices of Consumer Prices (HICP) data produced by Eurostat. Resolution will use the first official figure for the referred month (excluding the flash estimate) as published or cited by the ECB, rounded to one decimal place using standard rounding rules.

If the ECB publication is delayed, unclear, or unavailable, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will be confirmation of the same HICP figure from Eurostat releases or a clear consensus of reporting by major international financial news organizations. The markets will resolve according to the substantive inflation outcome implied by the data and market intent, not minor technical or formatting changes in the source. Subsequent data revisions after the initial publication will not affect the market’s resolution; if no fair determination is possible, Futuur may cancel the markets with a public explanation.