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US’ GDP growth rate for Q2- 2026 2.6% or more: real money 39%, play money 39% Between 2.1% and 2.5%: real money 30%, play money 28% Between 1.5% and 2.0%: real money 22%, play money 22% 1.4% or less: real money 11%, play money 11% Volume: real money 116.59835729, play money 10000.4 Bettors: real money 9, play money 8 Categories: Finance, Economic Indicators, United States, GDP Related markets Winner of the next US Presidential Election (ID: 211457) Volume: real 2045.00877596, play 37828.53405976 Bettors: real 23, play 85 Leading (real money): Winner of the next US Presidential Election 46% Leading (play money): Winner of the next US Presidential Election 39% Control of the US House of Representatives after the 2026 Elections (ID: 211468) Volume: real 1268.19508194, play 40999.49399825 Bettors: real 17, play 52 Leading (real money): Control of the US House of Representatives after the 2026 Elections 25% Leading (play money): Control of the US House of Representatives after the 2026 Elections 43% Will Trump be impeached in his second term? (ID: 212720) Volume: real 3007.61949177, play 138193.40726428 Bettors: real 30, play 210 Leading (real money): Will Trump be impeached in his second term? 10% Leading (play money): Will Trump be impeached in his second term? 55% Who will leave the Trump administration in 2026? (ID: 231765) Volume: real 963.95276357, play 127896.20979507 Bettors: real 75, play 91 Leading (real money): Tulsi Gabbard 86% Leading (play money): Tulsi Gabbard 97% Trump to serve his full term? (ID: 198250) Volume: real 2609.88778546, play 117480.45119066 Bettors: real 39, play 212 Leading (real money): Trump to serve his full term? 93% Leading (play money): Trump to serve his full term? 72%

US’ GDP growth rate for Q2- 2026

Market Rules

This set of markets will resolve based on the advance estimate of the United States’ real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth rate for the second quarter (Q2) of 2026, as published by the ,a href=”https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product”>U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA). The Primary Designated Source (PDS) is the BEA’s official Gross Domestic Product release. The relevant figure is the quarter-over-quarter annualized real GDP growth rate for Q2 2026, as first officially reported by the BEA.

If the BEA’s advance estimate is delayed, unavailable, or unclear, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will be the confirmation from BEA’s official data tables once published, or a clear consensus of reporting by major financial news organizations (such as Reuters or Bloomberg) citing BEA data. The markets will resolve according to the substantive GDP growth outcome and market intent, not minor technical or formatting differences. Subsequent revisions (second or third estimates) will not affect the market’s resolution; if no fair determination is possible, Futuur may cancel the markets with a public explanation.

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