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Will the winner of the 2026 FIFA World Cup be a country that has never won it before? Yes: real money 14%, play money 37% No: real money 86%, play money 63% Volume: real money 651.26893878, play money 92114.23561454 Bettors: real money 16, play money 20 Categories: Sports, Football, 🌐 FIFA World Cup 2026, Champion Related markets China to try to take Taiwan using military force by the end of 2026? (ID: 133863) Volume: real 1711.95573343, play 247606.92725054 Bettors: real 35, play 510 Leading (real money): China to try to take Taiwan using military force by the end of 2026? 100% Leading (play money): China to try to take Taiwan using military force by the end of 2026? 9% Companies to go public in 2026 (ID: 233778) Volume: real 1075.64094686, play 59815.01606926 Bettors: real 65, play 56 Leading (real money): SpaceX 91% Leading (play money): SpaceX 94% What will be the price of Bitcoin at the end of 2026? (ID: 239444) Volume: real 3058.6573976, play 10506.27103104 Bettors: real 34, play 34 Leading (real money): Between $ 60,000 and $ 74,999.99 53% Leading (play money): Between $ 60,000 and $ 74,999.99 31% Will Neymar sign with a European elite club for the 2026/27 season? (ID: 228886) Volume: real 531.46017994, play 20682.45780431 Bettors: real 17, play 33 Leading (real money): Will Neymar sign with a European elite club for the 2026/27 season? 15% Leading (play money): Will Neymar sign with a European elite club for the 2026/27 season? 9%

Will the winner of the 2026 FIFA World Cup be a country that has never won it before?

Market Rules

This market predicts whether the winner of the 2026 FIFA World Cup will be a country that has never previously won a FIFA World Cup (men's tournament). The countries that have previously won the men's FIFA World Cup are:

  • Uruguay (1930, 1950),
  • Italy (1934, 1938, 1982, 2006),
  • Germany / West Germany (1954, 1974, 1990, 2014),
  • Brazil (1958, 1962, 1970, 1994, 2002),
  • England (1966),
  • Argentina (1978, 1986, 2022),
  • France (1998, 2018),
  • Spain (2010).

If the winner of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final is a country other than these eight, this market will resolve to "Yes". If the winner is any of these eight countries, this market will resolve to "No". The Primary Designated Source is the official FIFA website (fifa.com) and FIFA's official communications. A consensus of credible reporting may be used to confirm the winner. If the tournament is canceled, abandoned without a champion, or postponed and not concluded, this market may be canceled.

Eventual changes that lead to a different team being crowned champion of the World Cup after the World Cup Final have been played will not affect the resolution of this market. Only the team that wins the tournament and lifts the trophy on the day of the World Cup final will be taken into account for resolving this market.

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