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How many of the negotiating chapters required to join the EU will Montenegro have closed at the end of 2026? 14 or fewer: real money 5%, play money 1% Between 15 and 17 (inclusive): real money 7%, play money 2% Between 18 and 22 (inclusive): real money 34%, play money 37% Between 23 and 27 (inclusive): real money 38%, play money 42% 28 or more: real money 15%, play money 17% Volume: real money 37.47117332, play money 112497.38858856 Bettors: real money 11, play money 13 Categories: Politics, Europe, Montenegro Related markets China to try to take Taiwan using military force by the end of 2026? (ID: 133863) Volume: real 1711.95573343, play 248684.5794556 Bettors: real 35, play 510 Leading (real money): China to try to take Taiwan using military force by the end of 2026? 100% Leading (play money): China to try to take Taiwan using military force by the end of 2026? 8% Companies to go public in 2026 (ID: 233778) Volume: real 8316.63466162, play 116640.461289 Bettors: real 73, play 76 Leading (real money): SpaceX 91% Leading (play money): SpaceX 94% What will be the price of Bitcoin at the end of 2026? (ID: 239444) Volume: real 4430.78763579, play 85766.45903109 Bettors: real 48, play 49 Leading (real money): Between $ 75,000 and $ 89,999.99 47% Leading (play money): Between $ 75,000 and $ 89,999.99 34% United Kingdom’s interest rate at the end of 2026 (ID: 231730) Volume: real 888.46857274, play 126870.5934067 Bettors: real 32, play 26 Leading (real money): Greater than 3.75% 69% Leading (play money): Greater than 3.75% 69%

How many of the negotiating chapters required to join the EU will Montenegro have closed at the end of 2026?

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This event predicts the total number of European Union (EU) accession negotiating chapters that Montenegro will have provisionally closed by December 31, 2026 23:59:59 UTC. Montenegro's accession negotiations cover 33 chapters under the EU acquis. Each market below corresponds to one count range; exactly one will resolve "Yes".

The Primary Designated Source is the European Commission's Directorate-General for Neighbourhood and Enlargement Negotiations (DG NEAR) — specifically the official Montenegro accession status page and the EU Council's reports on Montenegro's accession.

Chapters that are temporarily closed, re-opened, or under interim benchmarks do not count as closed. Chapters 34 (Institutions) and 35 (Other Issues) do not count for the purposes of this event.

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