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How many of the negotiating chapters required to join the EU will Montenegro have closed at the end of 2026? 14 or fewer: real money 5%, play money 5% Between 15 and 17 (inclusive): real money 10%, play money 10% Between 18 and 22 (inclusive): real money 33%, play money 33% Between 23 and 27 (inclusive): real money 37%, play money 37% 28 or more: real money 15%, play money 15% Volume: real money 99.99, play money 10000 Bettors: real money 0, play money 0 Categories: Politics, Europe, Montenegro Related markets Will Greenland become independent in 2026? (ID: 231572) Volume: real 362.34725228, play 33419.68025347 Bettors: real 13, play 20 Leading (real money): Will Greenland become independent in 2026? 10% Leading (play money): Will Greenland become independent in 2026? 10% Companies to go public in 2026 (ID: 233778) Volume: real 619.05373737, play 43484.79893412 Bettors: real 47, play 37 Leading (real money): SpaceX 91% Leading (play money): SpaceX 94% Will Neymar sign with a European elite club for the 2026/27 season? (ID: 228886) Volume: real 338.53205355, play 27819.14808037 Bettors: real 12, play 31 Leading (real money): Will Neymar sign with a European elite club for the 2026/27 season? 20% Leading (play money): Will Neymar sign with a European elite club for the 2026/27 season? 15%

How many of the negotiating chapters required to join the EU will Montenegro have closed at the end of 2026?

Market Rules

This event predicts the total number of European Union (EU) accession negotiating chapters that Montenegro will have provisionally closed by December 31, 2026 23:59:59 UTC. Montenegro's accession negotiations cover 33 chapters under the EU acquis. Each market below corresponds to one count range; exactly one will resolve "Yes".

The Primary Designated Source is the European Commission's Directorate-General for Neighbourhood and Enlargement Negotiations (DG NEAR) — specifically the official Montenegro accession status page and the EU Council's reports on Montenegro's accession.

Chapters that are temporarily closed, re-opened, or under interim benchmarks do not count as closed. Chapters 34 (Institutions) and 35 (Other Issues) do not count for the purposes of this event.

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