Winning party in Iowa's gubernatorial election (2026)
Market Rules
This set of markets predicts which political party will win the 2026 gubernatorial election in the state of Iowa, scheduled for November 3, 2026. The market corresponding to the party of the candidate officially elected Governor of Iowa will resolve to "Yes". A candidate will be considered affiliated with a political party based on the official party designation under which they appear on the ballot. Iowa does not require a runoff election. The candidate who receives the highest number of valid votes in the general election is declared the winner.
The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be the Associated Press race call. Resolution is triggered as soon as the AP has called the race and at least two of the following also call the same winner: Reuters, Fox News, The New York Times.
In the case of a major discrepancy between these sources that persists beyond seven days after election day, resolution will instead be based on the official certified election results published by the State of Iowa (e.g., the Iowa Secretary of State), the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM). Resolution will be based on the officially certified winner, not projections, concession speeches, or media calls. If a fair determination cannot be made, Futuur may cancel the event with a public explanation.