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Winner of Clacton’s by-election Nigel Farage: real money 98%, play money 98% Count Binface: real money 2%, play money 4% Volume: real money 92.16133787, play money 4864.22781398 Bettors: real money 4, play money 6 Categories: Politics, Europe, UK Related markets Winner of the next US Presidential Election (ID: 211457) Volume: real 1665.02450162, play 28490.17512169 Bettors: real 23, play 85 Leading (real money): Winner of the next US Presidential Election 46% Leading (play money): Winner of the next US Presidential Election 38% Brazil’s Next President Elect (ID: 233774) Volume: real 10364.61673688, play 899273.94655702 Bettors: real 125, play 218 Leading (real money): Lula 76% Leading (play money): Lula 81% Elected Governor of Minas Gerais in 2026 (ID: 236763) Volume: real 7963.50119495, play 477249.61876322 Bettors: real 51, play 62 Leading (real money): Cleitinho Azevedo (Republicanos) 65% Leading (play money): Cleitinho Azevedo (Republicanos) 65% Trump to serve his full term? (ID: 198250) Volume: real 2715.2344096, play 116466.23915531 Bettors: real 39, play 212 Leading (real money): Trump to serve his full term? 93% Leading (play money): Trump to serve his full term? 72% Will JD Vance be the Republican presidential nominee in 2028? (ID: 222362) Volume: real 1629.54428251, play 36328.18707992 Bettors: real 24, play 118 Leading (real money): Will JD Vance be the Republican presidential nominee in 2028? 50% Leading (play money): Will JD Vance be the Republican presidential nominee in 2028? 75%

Winner of Clacton’s by-election

Market Rules

This set of markets predicts the winner of the Clacton parliamentary by-election, set to take place on August 13, 2026, and triggered by Nigel Farage's resignation as MP for Clacton on 7 July 2026.

Exactly one market resolves to "Yes". The resolution source is the official result declared by the returning officer for Tendring District Council, confirmed by the UK Parliament. If the winner is not determined by October 31, 2026, all named-candidate markets resolve to "No".

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