Will Andrew Tate be extradited to the UK by September 30?

This market predicts whether Andrew Tate will be extradited to the United Kingdom. If Andrew Tate is physically transferred into UK government custody — through extradition or an equivalent process, including entering UK territory and being arrested or otherwise taken into custody there — on or before September 30, 2026 at 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to 'Yes'. Otherwise, it will resolve to 'No'.

Announcements that an extradition has been requested, approved, ordered, or agreed to do not qualify on their own: only the physical transfer into UK custody within the market period resolves this market to 'Yes'. Once that condition is met, resolution is immediate and irrevocable. Resolution reflects whether the transfer actually happens, not procedural technicalities along the way.

The Primary Designated Source is official information from the governments of the United States and the United Kingdom and the relevant courts — including the U.S. Department of Justice (its Criminal Division's Office of International Affairs and the U.S. Attorney's Office for the Southern District of Florida), the records of the relevant U.S. federal court, the U.S. Department of State regarding the surrender decision, and the UK Home Office. If official confirmation is delayed or unclear, a clear and overwhelming consensus of credible news organizations will be used.